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Should I ship a Female-Led Turn-Based Combat game?
Turn-Based Combat + Female Protagonist
Of 220 developers who shipped a Female-Led Turn-Based Combat game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 351 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $6.3k, ×13 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $500k, ×1064 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 351 games are announced against 122 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.2k (exactly $1,194) |
|---|---|
| Median | $6.3k (exactly $6,296) |
| Top 25% | $40k (exactly $40,023) |
| Top 5% | $506k (exactly $505,631) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 220 |
| Released games | 834 |
| Announced | 351 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $10.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Turn-Based Combat
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Female Protagonist
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Turn-Based Combat; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, JRPG, Adventure
- Price point
- $10.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, 2D, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 32,075 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 8 in 10 of the 130 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 351 games are announced against 122 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Turn-Based Combat with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WuxiaStrong odds
- + Hack and SlashStrong odds
- + RomeFair
- + CookingFair
- + UndergroundFair
- + IdlerFair
- + DiceFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + SolitaireFair
Comparable games
Path Of Wuxia 2022 · $30M 
FINAL FANTASY X/X-2 HD Remaster 2016 · $18M 
Volcano Princess 2023 · $15M 
Monster Hunter Stories 3: Twisted Reflection 2026 · $12M 
Ruined King: A League of Legends Story™ 2021 · $9.6M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Path Of Wuxia | older | $34.99 | 28,286 78% | 849k | $30M (exactly $29,691,814) | 香港商河洛互動娛樂股份有限公司 |
| | FINAL FANTASY X/X-2 HD Remaster | older | $29.99 | 19,857 87% | 596k | $18M (exactly $17,865,343) | Square Enix |
| | Volcano Princess | older | $10.99 | 45,019 97% | 1.4M | $15M (exactly $14,842,764) | 养蛋人 Egg Hatcher |
| | Monster Hunter Stories 3: Twisted Reflection | $69.99 | 5,605 77% | 168k | $12M (exactly $11,768,818) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd. | |
| | Ruined King: A League of Legends Story™ | older | $29.99 | 10,623 88% | 319k | $9.6M (exactly $9,557,513) | Airship Syndicate |
 | Chrono Ark | older | $24.99 | 12,623 90% | 379k | $9.5M (exactly $9,463,463) | Al Fine |
 | Trails in the Sky 1st Chapter | $59.99 | 4,650 95% | 140k | $8.4M (exactly $8,368,605) | Nihon Falcom | |
 | FINAL FANTASY® XIII | older | $15.99 | 16,314 74% | 489k | $7.8M (exactly $7,825,826) | Square Enix |
 | WitchSpring R | older | $34.99 | 6,858 95% | 206k | $7.2M (exactly $7,198,843) | KIWIWALKS |
 | TROUBLESHOOTER: Abandoned Children | older | $24.99 | 9,464 93% | 284k | $7.1M (exactly $7,095,161) | Dandylion |
 | Magical Princess | $14.99 | 7,636 96% | 229k | $3.4M (exactly $3,433,909) | Neotro Inc., MAGI Inc. | |
 | StarVaders | $24.99 | 3,760 97% | 113k | $2.8M (exactly $2,818,872) | Pengonauts | |
 | Artis Impact | $18.99 | 2,308 84% | 69k | $1.3M (exactly $1,314,868) | Mas | |
 | Atelier Resleriana: The Red Alchemist & the White Guardian | $59.99 | 714 89% | 21k | $1.3M (exactly $1,284,986) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. | |
 | Wicked Seed | $19.99 | 1,376 94% | 41k | $825k (exactly $825,187) | Dead Right Games | |
 | Cauldron | $14.99 | 1,678 92% | 50k | $755k (exactly $754,597) | SleepyDad Games | |
 | Journey of Realm：Dawn Dew | $10.99 | 2,233 97% | 67k | $736k (exactly $736,220) | 葱色兔兔/Scallion Rabbit | |
 | Dream of Corpse Lady | $9.99 | 2,115 93% | 63k | $634k (exactly $633,866) | HT3 Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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