Do I ship it?

GamesSplit ScreenSplit Screen + Exploration

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Split Screen Exploration game?

Split Screen + Exploration

Of 42 developers who shipped a Split Screen Exploration game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 78 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.8k, ×7.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.3k; 1 in 20 cleared $2.5M, ×4076 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 78 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 78 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Split Screen + Exploration
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 42
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.0k → $1.9k → $3.4k → $5.4k → $6.3k → $14k → $1.3k (still earning) → $10k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Split Screen + Exploration: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 42
Bottom 30% $1.3k (exactly $1,258)
Median $4.8k (exactly $4,823)
Top 25% $40k (exactly $40,023)
Top 5% $2.6M (exactly $2,559,646)
Developers, 2 yr 42
Released games 108
Announced 78
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Split Screen
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Exploration
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Split Screen, Exploration; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Co-op
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 24,171 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.3k, median $4.8k, 1 in 4 over $40k, 1 in 20 over $2.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.3k. 9 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 78 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Split Screen with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Automobile SimStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair54 devs · median $6.0k · 56 announced
  3. + Immersive SimFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced
  4. + HorrorFair16 devs · median $4.3k · 18 announced
  5. + SportsFair58 devs · median $4.0k · 52 announced
  6. + RPGFair28 devs · median $450 · 31 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot23 devs · median $300 · 24 announced
  8. + CollectathonPoor odds10 devs · median $38k · 16 announced
  9. + Online Co-OpPoor odds30 devs · median $25k · 63 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds15 devs · median $18k · 20 announced
  11. + Open WorldPoor odds20 devs · median $10k · 27 announced
  12. + Tower DefensePoor odds8 devs · median $7.9k · 10 announced

All 84 pairs on the Split Screen page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
It Takes Two older $39.99 218,492 95% 6.6M $262M (exactly $262,124,852) Hazelight Studios
Outward Definitive Edition older $39.99 24,636 72% 739k $30M (exactly $29,555,809) Nine Dots Studio
Little Nightmares III $39.99 10,165 46% 305k $12M (exactly $12,194,950) Supermassive Games
Amazing Frog? · EA older $19.99 11,169 94% 335k $6.7M (exactly $6,698,049) Fayju
LEGO® City Undercover older $19.99 7,414 91% 222k $4.4M (exactly $4,446,176) Traveller's Tales
Easy Delivery Co. $12.99 9,538 95% 286k $3.7M (exactly $3,716,959) Sam C
Bang-On Balls: Chronicles older $24.99 4,334 96% 130k $3.2M (exactly $3,249,200) Exit Plan Games
Revenge of the Savage Planet $29.99 2,845 86% 85k $2.6M (exactly $2,559,646) Raccoon Logic Studios Inc.
Amazing Frog? 2 · EA older $19.99 726 77% 22k $435k (exactly $435,382) Fayju
Crumble older $14.99 681 89% 20k $306k (exactly $306,246) BRUTE FORCE
Together: Moon Escape $9.99 868 90% 26k $260k (exactly $260,140) CarlosGameDev
TRANSFORMERS: Galactic Trials $39.99 93 78% 2.8k $112k (exactly $111,572) 3DClouds
Taival · EA $19.99 134 83% 4.0k $80k (exactly $80,360) Bonobo Software
Escape From Mandrillia: Local Asymmetric VR+PC $12.99 181 95% 5.4k $71k (exactly $70,536) German Bandera
Amelia and the Erotic Tentacle Trap Dungeon · EA $10.99 175 66% 5.3k $58k (exactly $57,698) Studio SilverMoon
Teeto $17.99 90 94% 2.7k $49k (exactly $48,573) Eat Pant Games
Slopecrashers $17.99 82 93% 2.5k $44k (exactly $44,255) byteparrot

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.