Do I ship it?

GamesTime ManipulationTime Manipulation + Fantasy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fantasy Time Manipulation game?

Time Manipulation + Fantasy

Of 44 developers who shipped a Fantasy Time Manipulation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 84 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120. 84 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper, while revenue is up 220% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 220% on the market, 84 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Time Manipulation + Fantasy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 44
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.2k → $1.1k → $899 → $449 → $987 → $1.3k → $240 (still earning) → $1.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Time Manipulation + Fantasy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 44
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $2.9k (exactly $2,875)
Top 5% $975k (exactly $975,110)
Developers, 2 yr 44
Released games 145
Announced 84
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 220% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Time Manipulation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Fantasy
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Time Manipulation; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, RPG, Action
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $20.00 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $20.00 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 7,097 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $300, 1 in 4 over $2.8k, 1 in 20 over $970k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 84 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Time Manipulation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair14 devs · median $2.7k · 9 announced
  2. + CapitalismFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + ModernFair12 devs · median $987 · 9 announced
  4. + PsychologicalFair18 devs · median $897 · 17 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $657 · 15 announced
  6. + RacingFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  7. + Precision PlatformerFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  8. + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 24 announced
  9. + RobotsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 16 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds7 devs · median $6.7k · 22 announced
  11. + DetectivePoor odds16 devs · median $6.5k · 32 announced
  12. + NoirPoor odds9 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced

All 103 pairs on the Time Manipulation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sovereign Tower $19.99 3,087 93% 93k $1.9M (exactly $1,851,274) WILD WITS GAMES
Timespinner older $19.99 2,823 86% 85k $1.7M (exactly $1,692,953) Lunar Ray Games
Prince of Persia®: The Sands of Time older $9.99 5,045 85% 151k $1.5M (exactly $1,511,986) Kudosoft
The Legend of Heroes: Trails through Daybreak II $59.99 669 83% 20k $1.2M (exactly $1,203,999) Nihon Falcom, PH3 GmbH
Prince of Persia: Warrior Within™ older $9.99 3,933 82% 118k $1.2M (exactly $1,178,720) Ubisoft
DevilConnection $16.66 1,951 98% 59k $975k (exactly $975,110) ChaoGames
CONVERGENCE: A League of Legends Story™ older $29.99 1,048 87% 31k $943k (exactly $942,886) Double Stallion
Prince of Persia: The Forgotten Sands™ older $9.99 2,882 70% 86k $864k (exactly $863,735) Ubisoft Montreal
Prince of Persia: The Two Thrones™ older $9.99 2,683 80% 80k $804k (exactly $804,095) Ubisoft Montreal
Gravity Field older $29.99 778 79% 23k $700k (exactly $699,967) Kazakov Studios
Chrono Gear: Warden of Time $17.99 950 98% 29k $513k (exactly $512,715) Team Chrono Gear, GalaxyTrail
Titans of the Past $24.99 108 83% 3.2k $81k (exactly $80,968) Devil's Dozen Games
Lord Ambermaze $14.99 131 91% 3.9k $59k (exactly $58,911) Potata Company
Toroban $20.00 60 86% 1.8k $36k (exactly $36,000) Hebert Games LLC
Time Snatcher Handy $9.99 88 96% 2.6k $26k (exactly $26,374) PulleyBun, ClockworkCats
Who Summoned It? $9.99 29 96% 870 $8.7k (exactly $8,691) Crooked Foot
miniquest $4.99 24 100% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Dennis Gallant

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.