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Should I ship a Fantasy Shop Keeper?
Shop Keeper + Fantasy
Of 75 developers who shipped a Fantasy Shop Keeper in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 174 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.5k, ×7.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $620k, ×1323 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 174 games are announced against 60 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $719 (exactly $719) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.5k (exactly $3,471) |
| Top 25% | $33k (exactly $32,667) |
| Top 5% | $628k (exactly $628,231) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 75 |
| Released games | 96 |
| Announced | 174 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 300% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Shop Keeper
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Fantasy
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Shop Keeper; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Economy
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Cozy, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 12,760 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $720. 5 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 174 games are announced against 60 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Shop Keeper with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorStrong odds
- + HorrorFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + ModernFair
- + StrategyFair
- + LogicFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + NaturePoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Recettear: An Item Shop's Tale | older | $19.99 | 6,684 95% | 201k | $4.0M (exactly $4,008,395) | EasyGameStation |
| | Moonlighter 2: The Endless Vault | $29.99 | 3,146 80% | 94k | $2.8M (exactly $2,830,456) | Digital Sun | |
| | Tavern Manager Simulator 🍻 | older | $14.99 | 4,018 91% | 121k | $1.8M (exactly $1,806,895) | One More Time |
| | Saleblazers | · EA older | $29.99 | 1,974 78% | 59k | $1.8M (exactly $1,776,008) | AIRSTRAFE INTERACTIVE |
| | Teddy's Haven | · EA | $14.99 | 2,800 95% | 84k | $1.3M (exactly $1,259,160) | Teddy Bear Games LLC |
| | Trash Goblin | $19.99 | 1,574 87% | 47k | $944k (exactly $943,928) | Spilt Milk Studios Ltd | |
| | Tavern Talk - A Cozy Visual Novel | older | $17.99 | 1,456 87% | 44k | $786k (exactly $785,803) | Gentle Troll Entertainment |
| | Goblin Vyke: The Thief Tycoon | $14.99 | 1,397 70% | 42k | $628k (exactly $628,231) | Art Thieves | |
| | Fell & Sell | $9.99 | 1,428 84% | 43k | $428k (exactly $427,972) | Art Games Studio S.A. | |
| | Rebirth Pub | $17.99 | 700 92% | 21k | $378k (exactly $377,790) | Seikou Soft. | |
| | Potion Tycoon | $19.99 | 629 71% | 19k | $377k (exactly $377,211) | Snowhound Games | |
| | Tabletop Game Shop Simulator | $12.99 | 480 84% | 14k | $187k (exactly $187,056) | Ludogram, Knight Fever Games | |
| | Sugardew Island - Your cozy farm shop | $16.99 | 291 76% | 8.7k | $148k (exactly $148,323) | rokaplay | |
| | Cozy Keep: Farm, Craft, Manage | · EA | $14.99 | 315 93% | 9.5k | $142k (exactly $141,656) | Unbossed Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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