Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based CombatTurn-Based Combat + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith Turn-Based Combat game?

Turn-Based Combat + Faith

Only 13 developers shipped a Faith Turn-Based Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Malys, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $9.9k, ×21 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.8k; 1 in 20 cleared $77k, ×163 the market median. Revenue is up 960% on the market; 19 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 20.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 960% on the market, 19 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Combat + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $106k → $9.9k → $3.3k
Outcomes for Turn-Based Combat + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Median $9.9k (exactly $9,893)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $19,162)
Top 5% $77k (exactly $77,348)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 36
Announced 19
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 960% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Combat
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Combat
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 675 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.8k, median $9.9k, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $77k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.8k. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Combat with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaStrong odds20 devs · median $19k · 21 announced
  2. + Hack and SlashStrong odds28 devs · median $3.7k · 27 announced
  3. + RomeFair8 devs · median $16k · 13 announced
  4. + CookingFair15 devs · median $6.0k · 22 announced
  5. + UndergroundFair18 devs · median $4.2k · 29 announced
  6. + IdlerFair52 devs · median $4.0k · 41 announced
  7. + DiceFair49 devs · median $2.2k · 59 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair81 devs · median $1.4k · 107 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair59 devs · median $1.3k · 71 announced
  10. + Tower DefenseFair28 devs · median $839 · 34 announced
  11. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $719 · 52 announced
  12. + SolitaireFair26 devs · median $450 · 31 announced

All 175 pairs on the Turn-Based Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Touhou Artificial Dream in Arcadia older $9.99 1,157 96% 35k $347k (exactly $346,753) Bar Holographic Otaku
Black & White older $14.99 612 71% 18k $275k (exactly $275,216) 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame)
Ruff Ghanor older $19.99 435 85% 13k $261k (exactly $260,869) DX Gameworks
[DE:]Fanastasis older $19.99 177 96% 5.3k $106k (exactly $106,147) Mosamosa
Malys $14.99 172 79% 5.2k $77k (exactly $77,348) Summerfall Studios
Touhou Rinrinki ~ Crafts of the Lucky Beast · EA $9.99 117 92% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,065) Starcrow Dev
Minnano Gensokyo Single · EA older $6.99 135 87% 4.1k $28k (exactly $28,310) 妖怪山地下实验室
Touhou Three Noisy Fairies' Adventure ~ Take it Easy $9.99 65 75% 2.0k $19k (exactly $19,480) 狐狸壶工作室
Religion inc. $4.99 128 72% 3.8k $19k (exactly $19,162) GameFirst
Flan's BN $5.99 78 97% 2.3k $14k (exactly $14,017) Geism
Touhou: Fearless Frogslayer $5.99 60 95% 1.8k $11k (exactly $10,782) SilvaMemoria
Herogue $14.99 22 95% 660 $9.9k (exactly $9,893) 巴豆肥工作室
不思議の大冒険 チルノ見参!2 $9.99 11 90% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) CrossLodge
Elohim Eternal II: Son of Man $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) George Alexandros
Cross Quest $4.99 12 91% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) AscendBat

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.