Do I ship it?

GamesTime ManipulationTime Manipulation + Dystopian

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dystopian Time Manipulation game?

Time Manipulation + Dystopian

Only 13 developers shipped a Dystopian Time Manipulation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Deadeye Deepfake Simulacrum, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.9k, ×10 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $750; 1 in 20 cleared $320k, ×688 the market median. Revenue is up 295% on the market; 34 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 295% on the market, 34 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Time Manipulation + Dystopian
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $809 → $15k → $2.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Time Manipulation + Dystopian: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $750 (exactly $750)
Median $4.9k (exactly $4,940)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $15,290)
Top 5% $327k (exactly $326,958)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 36
Announced 34
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 295% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Time Manipulation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Dystopian
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Time Manipulation
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 2,288 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $750, median $4.9k, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $320k.

3 in 10 developers made under $750. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Time Manipulation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair14 devs · median $2.7k · 9 announced
  2. + CapitalismFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + ModernFair12 devs · median $987 · 9 announced
  4. + PsychologicalFair18 devs · median $897 · 17 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $657 · 15 announced
  6. + RacingFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  7. + Precision PlatformerFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  8. + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 24 announced
  9. + RobotsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 16 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds7 devs · median $6.7k · 22 announced
  11. + DetectivePoor odds16 devs · median $6.5k · 32 announced
  12. + NoirPoor odds9 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced

All 103 pairs on the Time Manipulation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SUPERHOT: MIND CONTROL DELETE older $24.99 9,247 85% 277k $6.9M (exactly $6,932,476) SUPERHOT Team
Nobody Wants to Die older $24.99 5,818 83% 175k $4.4M (exactly $4,361,755) Critical Hit Games
Lucifer Within Us older $19.99 635 73% 19k $381k (exactly $380,809) Kitfox Games
Deadeye Deepfake Simulacrum $12.99 839 98% 25k $327k (exactly $326,958) nodayshalleraseyou
Ascend to ZERO $11.99 867 82% 26k $312k (exactly $311,860) Flyway Games, Inc.
MotionRec $9.99 430 99% 13k $129k (exactly $128,871) HANDSUM
Orten Was The Case older $14.99 125 94% 3.8k $56k (exactly $56,212) Woodhill Interactive
Time Recoil older $13.99 65 76% 2.0k $27k (exactly $27,280) 10tons Ltd
Mai: Child of Ages $14.99 34 88% 1.0k $15k (exactly $15,290) Chubby Pixel
Get Up In The Night $6.99 52 98% 1.6k $11k (exactly $10,904) GUITN Studio
Mysteries of Perception $8.99 24 87% 720 $6.5k (exactly $6,473) 50 Rats Games
Anomaly Protocol · EA $4.99 33 72% 990 $4.9k (exactly $4,940) Oriland
Spymaster · EA $11.99 6 100% 180 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) InnerspaceVR
Void Jump VR $14.99 2 50% 60 $899 (exactly $899) LemmoLab
Chrono Weaver $24.99 1 100% 30 $750 (exactly $750) Ivory Crow Games LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.