Do I ship it?

GamesLocal MultiplayerLocal Multiplayer + Dystopian

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dystopian Local Multiplayer game?

Local Multiplayer + Dystopian

Only 8 developers shipped a Dystopian Local Multiplayer game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, XF Extreme Formula, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×5.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×277 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 20 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 20 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Multiplayer + Dystopian
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $258k → $41k → $1.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Multiplayer + Dystopian: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,698)
Top 25% $44k (exactly $43,621)
Top 5% $132k (exactly $131,650)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 35
Announced 20
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Dystopian
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Multiplayer
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 3,264 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $43k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Multiplayer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HockeyStrong odds11 devs · median $3.0k · 12 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair61 devs · median $5.8k · 64 announced
  3. + Action RPGFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  4. + Hex GridFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  5. + ModernFair24 devs · median $3.6k · 16 announced
  6. + WargameFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  7. + TennisFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair26 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  10. + Football (American)Fair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  11. + SportsFair196 devs · median $1.6k · 208 announced
  12. + RunnerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced

All 174 pairs on the Local Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Project Planet - Earth vs Humanity older $24.99 361 78% 11k $271k (exactly $270,642) Fifth Harbour Studios
The Ninja Saviors: Return of the Warriors older $19.99 430 92% 13k $258k (exactly $257,871) Winning Entertainment Group Inc.
Neon Chrome older $14.99 545 93% 16k $245k (exactly $245,086) 10tons Ltd
Aeon's End older $14.99 438 82% 13k $197k (exactly $196,969) Handelabra Games Inc.
Tower 57 older $11.99 538 65% 16k $194k (exactly $193,519) Pixwerk
Panoptic older $16.99 281 96% 8.4k $143k (exactly $143,226) Team Panoptes
XF Extreme Formula $11.99 366 90% 11k $132k (exactly $131,650) Feperd Games
Flying Tank $14.99 97 86% 2.9k $44k (exactly $43,621) Hexage
Battle Engine Aquila older $9.99 139 92% 4.2k $42k (exactly $41,658) Lost Toys Ltd
Anima Flux $19.99 69 78% 2.1k $41k (exactly $41,379) Avantaj Prim
CARnage $14.99 6 100% 180 $2.7k (exactly $2,698) GleeMill
ONAR - Off World Fighter $14.99 3 66% 90 $1.3k (exactly $1,349) Enter Yes Interactive
ROBOT RIOT $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) TATAMI TEAM
EcoMoguls $11.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) The Analog Gaming Socity
Body Pillow Royal $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) MuteCanary

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.