Do I ship it?

GamesDynamic NarrationDynamic Narration + Post-apocalyptic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Post-apocalyptic Dynamic Narration game?

Dynamic Narration + Post-apocalyptic

Only 9 developers shipped a Post-apocalyptic Dynamic Narration game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Octopus Goulash, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×5.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $3.8k, ×6.2 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 31 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 31 announced, ×5.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dynamic Narration + Post-apocalyptic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Dynamic Narration + Post-apocalyptic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $537 (exactly $537)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 5% $3.9k (exactly $3,897)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 32
Announced 31
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dynamic Narration
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Post-apocalyptic
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Dynamic Narration
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 65,805 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $540, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $3.8k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 31 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dynamic Narration with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + IncrementalFair19 devs · median $4.0k · 14 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  4. + ModernFair15 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced
  5. + TacticalFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  6. + LGBTQ+Poor odds12 devs · median $8.2k · 22 announced
  7. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $7.8k · 35 announced
  8. + RoguelitePoor odds10 devs · median $7.8k · 42 announced
  9. + Word GamePoor odds10 devs · median $5.2k · 17 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $4.4k · 40 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds31 devs · median $4.2k · 50 announced
  12. + ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $3.6k · 56 announced

All 84 pairs on the Dynamic Narration page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Walking Dead: The Telltale Definitive Series older $49.99 36,594 96% 1.1M $55M (exactly $54,880,022) Skybound Games
Bastion older $14.99 28,223 95% 847k $13M (exactly $12,691,883) Supergiant Games
AWAY: The Survival Series older $19.99 318 55% 9.5k $191k (exactly $190,705) Breaking Walls
Athanasy older $9.99 486 97% 15k $146k (exactly $145,654) Wirion
The Library of Babel older $18.99 61 70% 1.8k $35k (exactly $34,752) Tanuki Game Studio
T.D.Z. 3 Dark Way of Stalker older $5.99 71 76% 2.1k $13k (exactly $12,759) Team GZ
A Whisper in the Twilight: Chapter One older $10.99 18 88% 540 $5.9k (exactly $5,935) Inorganic Visions
DawnWander · EA older $9.99 17 23% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) DarkTree Development
Octopus Goulash $12.99 10 70% 300 $3.9k (exactly $3,897) Alessio Serenellini
Breakfall: Nuclear Winter · EA $17.99 7 28% 210 $3.8k (exactly $3,778) Dominik Geuer
All That Glitters $4.99 13 100% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) lestudiodetrop
Hate-Gem Rise Of Demon · EA $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) ElLeonGamer
THE SACRED MEMORY $1.99 9 88% 270 $537 (exactly $537) VICAVISUAL
Shopping in a Winter Zombieland $1.99 6 66% 180 $358 (exactly $358) Zombie Zone Germany
Residual Wilds $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Magic Art Hat
Dormant $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Moon Root
Thoughtless $7.95 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Aky Heart

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.