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Should I ship a Dynamic Narration Dating Sim?
Dynamic Narration + Dating Sim
Only 13 developers shipped a Dynamic Narration Dating Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, My Bimbo Dream, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced, ×6.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.4k, ×9.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×613 the market median. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 40 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.1k (exactly $2,098) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.4k (exactly $4,404) |
| Top 25% | $8.2k (exactly $8,178) |
| Top 5% | $291k (exactly $290,956) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 40 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Dynamic Narration
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Dating Sim
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Dynamic Narration, Dating Sim; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Choices Matter, Choose Your Own Adventure, Multiple Endings
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Emotional, Realistic, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 75% positive over 938 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.1k. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 40 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Dynamic Narration with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SportsStrong odds
- + IncrementalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + ModernFair
- + TacticalFair
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + RoguelikePoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + Word GamePoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + ManagementPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
Comparable games
Summer's Gone - Season 1 2024 · $316k 
My Bimbo Dream 2025 · $291k 
Salty Hounds 2023 · EA · $152k 
College Bound: Arctic Adventure 2022 · $39k 
Numina 2022 · $33k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Summer's Gone - Season 1 | older | $14.99 | 702 93% | 21k | $316k (exactly $315,689) | OceanAVN |
| | My Bimbo Dream | $14.99 | 647 77% | 19k | $291k (exactly $290,956) | MBD | |
| | Salty Hounds | · EA older | $19.99 | 253 73% | 7.6k | $152k (exactly $151,724) | Topping Palette |
| | College Bound: Arctic Adventure | older | $10.99 | 119 59% | 3.6k | $39k (exactly $39,234) | FOZ |
| | Numina | older | $16.99 | 65 89% | 2.0k | $33k (exactly $33,130) | starlit studio |
 | Kaichu - The Kaiju Dating Sim | older | $9.99 | 87 88% | 2.6k | $26k (exactly $26,074) | Squiddershins |
 | Time Heals | $10.99 | 78 74% | 2.3k | $26k (exactly $25,717) | Owl`s | |
 | The Builder - Season 1 | $12.99 | 47 55% | 1.4k | $18k (exactly $18,316) | Lewd Robotics | |
 | Player Non Player | older | $9.99 | 36 100% | 1.1k | $11k (exactly $10,789) | Jonathan Coryn |
 | Fan Speak | $6.99 | 39 94% | 1.2k | $8.2k (exactly $8,178) | Fan Speak Studio | |
 | Novel Forger: Suicide Mr. Fury | $7.99 | 34 100% | 1.0k | $8.2k (exactly $8,150) | KK Narratif | |
 | Fulfill Wishes and Save You | $4.99 | 35 74% | 1.1k | $5.2k (exactly $5,240) | HALO CAT | |
 | NTR Massage & Betrayal | $6.99 | 21 9% | 630 | $4.4k (exactly $4,404) | SSSXXXGame | |
 | Angel Club | $6.99 | 20 65% | 600 | $4.2k (exactly $4,194) | イルカのヒレ | |
 | Witch’s Lewd Curse | $8.99 | 10 80% | 300 | $2.7k (exactly $2,697) | Naughty Narratives | |
 | A Whore New Ball Game | $9.99 | 7 28% | 210 | $2.1k (exactly $2,098) | Infidelisoft |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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