Do I ship it?

GamesDynamic NarrationDynamic Narration + Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dynamic Narration Roguelike?

Dynamic Narration + Roguelike

Only 11 developers shipped a Dynamic Narration Roguelike in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Your Mother, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $7.8k, ×16 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630; 1 in 20 cleared $250k, ×527 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 35 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 16.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 35 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dynamic Narration + Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $24k → $8.5k
Outcomes for Dynamic Narration + Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $628 (exactly $628)
Median $7.8k (exactly $7,792)
Top 25% $22k (exactly $21,741)
Top 5% $251k (exactly $250,549)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 35
Announced 35
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dynamic Narration
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Dynamic Narration, Roguelike
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 8,680 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $7.8k, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 35 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dynamic Narration with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + IncrementalFair19 devs · median $4.0k · 14 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  4. + ModernFair15 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced
  5. + TacticalFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  6. + LGBTQ+Poor odds12 devs · median $8.2k · 22 announced
  7. + RoguelitePoor odds10 devs · median $7.8k · 42 announced
  8. + Word GamePoor odds10 devs · median $5.2k · 17 announced
  9. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $4.4k · 40 announced
  10. + RomancePoor odds31 devs · median $4.2k · 50 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $3.6k · 56 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds17 devs · median $3.6k · 36 announced

All 84 pairs on the Dynamic Narration page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Curious Expedition 2 older $19.99 3,861 88% 116k $2.3M (exactly $2,315,442) Maschinen-Mensch
Curious Expedition older $14.99 3,951 91% 119k $1.8M (exactly $1,776,765) Maschinen-Mensch
CHANGE: A Homeless Survival Experience older $19.99 2,596 91% 78k $1.6M (exactly $1,556,821) Delve Interactive
Heading Out older $19.99 639 74% 19k $383k (exactly $383,208) Serious Sim, Crunching Koalas
Your Mother $0.99 8,436 92% 253k $251k (exactly $250,549) M for Mother
Ed-0: Zombie Uprising older $29.99 211 72% 6.3k $190k (exactly $189,837) LANCARSE
Betrayal At Club Low older $9.99 538 97% 16k $161k (exactly $161,239) Cosmo D Studios
Endless Dark $7.99 115 99% 3.5k $28k (exactly $27,566) Little Light Studios, LLC
Once Upon a Rogue's Tale · EA older $12.49 65 92% 2.0k $24k (exactly $24,356) PolyPirates UG, Lizard Child
Uberlaufer · EA older $10.00 74 83% 2.2k $22k (exactly $22,200) Think Tank Decoy Software LLC
Lethal Honor - Order of the Apocalypse $24.99 29 96% 870 $22k (exactly $21,741) Viral Studios
Steel Knight's ARMIS $9.99 40 57% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) Izanami Game Lab, Inc., FORCES
Aris Arcanum $14.99 19 73% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Broken Cane
The End Grows $9.99 26 92% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) Atopia.studio
The Cascadier · EA $10.99 4 75% 120 $1.3k (exactly $1,319) Enchanted Arcade
Domain of Hallucination · EA $2.99 7 100% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Livio Cozzio, Marcel Schürch, Carla Wid… (Livio Cozzio, Marcel Schürch, Carla Widmer, Jonas Wiesli, rnaisa)
Cognite $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Frosted Wings Studio
Endless Roll $3.49 1 100% 30 $105 (exactly $105) Hermit Hollow

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.