Do I ship it?

GamesDynamic NarrationDynamic Narration + Roguelite

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dynamic Narration Roguelite?

Dynamic Narration + Roguelite

Only 10 developers shipped a Dynamic Narration Roguelite in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Endless Dark, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $7.8k, ×16 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $27k, ×58 the market median. Revenue is up 7670% on the market; 42 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 16.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 7670% on the market, 42 announced, ×6.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dynamic Narration + Roguelite
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $124k → $24k → $8.5k
Outcomes for Dynamic Narration + Roguelite: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $7.8k (exactly $7,792)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,988)
Top 5% $28k (exactly $27,566)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 33
Announced 42
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 7670% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dynamic Narration
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Roguelite
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Dynamic Narration, Roguelite
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 238 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $7.8k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $27k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 42 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dynamic Narration with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + IncrementalFair19 devs · median $4.0k · 14 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  4. + ModernFair15 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced
  5. + TacticalFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  6. + LGBTQ+Poor odds12 devs · median $8.2k · 22 announced
  7. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $7.8k · 35 announced
  8. + Word GamePoor odds10 devs · median $5.2k · 17 announced
  9. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $4.4k · 40 announced
  10. + RomancePoor odds31 devs · median $4.2k · 50 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $3.6k · 56 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds17 devs · median $3.6k · 36 announced

All 84 pairs on the Dynamic Narration page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Curious Expedition 2 older $19.99 3,861 88% 116k $2.3M (exactly $2,315,442) Maschinen-Mensch
Curious Expedition older $14.99 3,951 91% 119k $1.8M (exactly $1,776,765) Maschinen-Mensch
CHANGE: A Homeless Survival Experience older $19.99 2,596 91% 78k $1.6M (exactly $1,556,821) Delve Interactive
Ed-0: Zombie Uprising older $29.99 211 72% 6.3k $190k (exactly $189,837) LANCARSE
Betrayal At Club Low older $9.99 538 97% 16k $161k (exactly $161,239) Cosmo D Studios
AETHERIS older $24.99 166 75% 5.0k $124k (exactly $124,450) WILD WITS
Starr Mazer: DSP · EA older $9.99 228 68% 6.8k $68k (exactly $68,332) Imagos Softworks, Subpixel Studios
Endless Dark $7.99 115 99% 3.5k $28k (exactly $27,566) Little Light Studios, LLC
Once Upon a Rogue's Tale · EA older $12.49 65 92% 2.0k $24k (exactly $24,356) PolyPirates UG, Lizard Child
Lethal Honor - Order of the Apocalypse $24.99 29 96% 870 $22k (exactly $21,741) Viral Studios
Steel Knight's ARMIS $9.99 40 57% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) Izanami Game Lab, Inc., FORCES
Aris Arcanum $14.99 19 73% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Broken Cane
The End Grows $9.99 26 92% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) Atopia.studio
The Cascadier · EA $10.99 4 75% 120 $1.3k (exactly $1,319) Enchanted Arcade
Junkyard Universe $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) Sarah Dressel
Struggler $5.99 1 0% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Bulanke
Endless Roll $3.49 1 100% 30 $105 (exactly $105) Hermit Hollow
Tenfold Tales $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) lapys games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.