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Should I ship a Dynamic Narration Word Game?
Dynamic Narration + Word Game
Only 10 developers shipped a Dynamic Narration Word Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mandate Of Heaven, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $5.2k, ×11 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $2.4M, ×5156 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 17 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.5k (exactly $1,499) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.2k (exactly $5,240) |
| Top 25% | $51k (exactly $50,661) |
| Top 5% | $2.4M (exactly $2,449,066) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 25 |
| Announced | 17 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Dynamic Narration
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Word Game
- effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Dynamic Narration, Word Game
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 90% positive over 6,425 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Dynamic Narration with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SportsStrong odds
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- + IdlerFair
- + ModernFair
- + TacticalFair
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + RoguelikePoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + ManagementPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Mandate Of Heaven | $14.99 | 5,446 91% | 163k | $2.4M (exactly $2,449,066) | 木焱工作室 | |
| | Anomalous Coffee Machine 2 | $6.99 | 753 81% | 23k | $158k (exactly $157,904) | HoruBrain Interactive | |
| | The Bible | older | $4.99 | 965 87% | 29k | $144k (exactly $144,460) | Bible Games |
| | Letters - a written adventure | older | $14.99 | 230 90% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $103,431) | 5am Games GmbH |
| | Throne of Monsters 怪物的王座 | $12.99 | 130 92% | 3.9k | $51k (exactly $50,661) | 雏形游戏 | |
| | The Dawn is Inevitable | · EA older | $6.99 | 91 87% | 2.7k | $19k (exactly $19,083) | Last Spring |
| | Fan Speak | $6.99 | 39 94% | 1.2k | $8.2k (exactly $8,178) | Fan Speak Studio | |
| | Fulfill Wishes and Save You | $4.99 | 35 74% | 1.1k | $5.2k (exactly $5,240) | HALO CAT | |
| | PAGO FOREST: DRAGON'S REVENGE | older | $5.99 | 24 100% | 720 | $4.3k (exactly $4,313) | Futurtech |
| | 許願ReadyGo! | $6.99 | 17 94% | 510 | $3.6k (exactly $3,565) | 第一點心 | |
| | Penko Vox: Japanese | · EA | $24.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $1.5k (exactly $1,499) | penko_soft |
| | The Iron and the Oath | $6.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $419 (exactly $419) | FFire Studio | |
| | Talk to Me Human | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Least Significant Bit | |
| | Time's Garden | · EA | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Shanghai Tri-Core Workshop Network Tech… (Shanghai Tri-Core Workshop Network Technology Co., Ltd.) |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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