Do I ship it?

GamesDynamic NarrationDynamic Narration + Perma Death

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dynamic Narration Perma Death game?

Dynamic Narration + Perma Death

Only 12 developers shipped a Dynamic Narration Perma Death game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Endless Dark, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×2.0 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $27k, ×58 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 21 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 21 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dynamic Narration + Perma Death
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.0k → $24k → $1.1k → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Dynamic Narration + Perma Death: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $959 (exactly $959)
Top 25% $3.8k (exactly $3,778)
Top 5% $28k (exactly $27,566)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 31
Announced 21
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dynamic Narration
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Perma Death
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Dynamic Narration, Perma Death
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 170 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $960, 1 in 4 over $3.7k, 1 in 20 over $27k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dynamic Narration with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + IncrementalFair19 devs · median $4.0k · 14 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  4. + ModernFair15 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced
  5. + TacticalFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  6. + LGBTQ+Poor odds12 devs · median $8.2k · 22 announced
  7. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $7.8k · 35 announced
  8. + RoguelitePoor odds10 devs · median $7.8k · 42 announced
  9. + Word GamePoor odds10 devs · median $5.2k · 17 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $4.4k · 40 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds31 devs · median $4.2k · 50 announced
  12. + ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $3.6k · 56 announced

All 84 pairs on the Dynamic Narration page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lakeview Cabin Collection older $9.99 1,599 94% 48k $479k (exactly $479,220) Roope Tamminen
Linguist FPS - The Language Learning FPS older $14.99 192 71% 5.8k $86k (exactly $86,342) Rocket Boy Games
Agarta older $2.99 498 71% 15k $45k (exactly $44,671) FF Digital
Endless Dark $7.99 115 99% 3.5k $28k (exactly $27,566) Little Light Studios, LLC
Once Upon a Rogue's Tale · EA older $12.49 65 92% 2.0k $24k (exactly $24,356) PolyPirates UG, Lizard Child
TD Worlds older $10.99 25 68% 750 $8.2k (exactly $8,242) NewOldMax
Ceaseless Night older $14.99 13 76% 390 $5.8k (exactly $5,846) JABDP Studio
Ironblood · EA $19.99 7 71% 210 $4.2k (exactly $4,198) Jack Wilds
Teacher Certification Hell older $3.99 34 73% 1.0k $4.1k (exactly $4,070) HaoHao Games
Breakfall: Nuclear Winter · EA $17.99 7 28% 210 $3.8k (exactly $3,778) Dominik Geuer
Look At Me $4.99 8 62% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Silly Tiger
CurrentDay $2.99 12 100% 360 $1.1k (exactly $1,076) HB Studio
Armed Animals RPG $15.99 2 100% 60 $959 (exactly $959) Strejda Jenda Productions
9 MINUTES AND 59 SECONDS TO HEAVEN $2.99 6 83% 180 $538 (exactly $538) Fake Carbonara
Earth Online · EA $1.99 8 62% 240 $478 (exactly $478) Galaxy Craft
Cognite $3.99 3 100% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Frosted Wings Studio
NEKRO3 · EA $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) CHVDR

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.