Do I ship it?

GamesDynamic NarrationDynamic Narration + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic Dynamic Narration game?

Dynamic Narration + Futuristic

Only 12 developers shipped a Futuristic Dynamic Narration game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Astrumis - Survive Together, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150. 25 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper, while revenue is down 80% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 25 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dynamic Narration + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.0k → $7.8k → $2.4k → $150 (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Dynamic Narration + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,395)
Top 5% $42k (exactly $41,658)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 40
Announced 25
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dynamic Narration
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Dynamic Narration
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 65% positive over 212 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $300, 1 in 4 over $5.3k, 1 in 20 over $41k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dynamic Narration with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + IncrementalFair19 devs · median $4.0k · 14 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  4. + ModernFair15 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced
  5. + TacticalFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  6. + LGBTQ+Poor odds12 devs · median $8.2k · 22 announced
  7. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $7.8k · 35 announced
  8. + RoguelitePoor odds10 devs · median $7.8k · 42 announced
  9. + Word GamePoor odds10 devs · median $5.2k · 17 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $4.4k · 40 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds31 devs · median $4.2k · 50 announced
  12. + ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $3.6k · 56 announced

All 84 pairs on the Dynamic Narration page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Detroit: Become Human older $39.99 226,411 96% 6.8M $272M (exactly $271,625,277) Quantic Dream
Lightmatter older $19.99 691 94% 21k $414k (exactly $414,393) Tunnel Vision Games
The Uncertain: Light At The End older $9.99 970 64% 29k $291k (exactly $290,709) ComonGames
Between Horizons – A Sci-Fi Detective Adventure older $15.99 395 88% 12k $189k (exactly $189,482) DigiTales Interactive
COGEN: Sword of Rewind / COGEN: 大鳥こはくと刻の剣 older $24.99 112 67% 3.4k $84k (exactly $83,966) Gemdrops, Inc.
A.D. 2047 older $19.99 79 62% 2.4k $47k (exactly $47,376) Leenzee Games
Astrumis - Survive Together $9.99 139 70% 4.2k $42k (exactly $41,658) Tyci
Return to Grace older $14.99 87 94% 2.6k $39k (exactly $39,124) Creative Bytes Studios
Steel Knight's ARMIS $9.99 40 57% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) Izanami Game Lab, Inc., FORCES
Reigns Beyond older $4.99 68 83% 2.0k $10k (exactly $10,180) Nerial
ORACLE: Humanity, Automated · EA $9.99 18 44% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) ZANKYO GAMES
Denbora $19.99 4 100% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Bionic Ape
Stellar Cafe $9.99 4 75% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) AstroBeam
Talk to Me Human $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Least Significant Bit
Fixora $2.99 3 0% 90 $269 (exactly $269) FirstMove Studio
Residual Wilds $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Magic Art Hat
Adrift $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Moryi Limited
Retro Wave $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) cagri burak demir

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.