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Should I ship a Dragon Flight game?
Flight + Dragons
Only 11 developers shipped a Dragon Flight game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Undead: Rise of the Betrayed King, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $10k, ×16 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 19 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $539 (exactly $539) |
| Top 25% | $7.5k (exactly $7,497) |
| Top 5% | $10k (exactly $10,195) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 43 |
| Announced | 19 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Flight
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 8 games average 85% positive over 75 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Flight with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Choose Your Own AdventureFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Quick-Time EventsFair
- + CatsFair
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + TradingPoor odds
- + MiningPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + EconomyPoor odds
- + RTSPoor odds
- + Cold WarPoor odds
Comparable games
Draconia 2022 · EA · $479k 
DreamWorks Dragons: Dawn of New Riders 2019 · $142k 
Elmarion: Dragon time 2020 · EA · $47k 
Fire and Steel 2021 · $43k 
DragonRideVR 2020 · $21k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Draconia | · EA older | $19.99 | 798 64% | 24k | $479k (exactly $478,561) | Draconia Dev Team |
| | DreamWorks Dragons: Dawn of New Riders | older | $29.99 | 158 90% | 4.7k | $142k (exactly $142,153) | Climax Studios Ltd. |
| | Elmarion: Dragon time | · EA older | $2.99 | 522 73% | 16k | $47k (exactly $46,823) | Fleon Games |
| | Fire and Steel | older | $6.99 | 203 81% | 6.1k | $43k (exactly $42,569) | Kreatin Studios |
| | DragonRideVR | older | $14.99 | 47 93% | 1.4k | $21k (exactly $21,136) | TypeEh Studios |
 | Hyper Echelon | older | $12.99 | 53 88% | 1.6k | $21k (exactly $20,654) | GangoGames LLC |
 | Elmarion: Dragon's Princess | older | $10.99 | 60 75% | 1.8k | $20k (exactly $19,782) | Fleon Games |
 | Undead: Rise of the Betrayed King | · EA | $19.99 | 17 70% | 510 | $10k (exactly $10,195) | Artak Avetisyan |
 | Skyfear | · EA | $14.99 | 20 95% | 600 | $9.0k (exactly $8,994) | Protoria Studios |
 | The Phoenix Gene VR | $24.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $7.5k (exactly $7,497) | HEROmation | |
 | Soar: Pillars of Tasneem | $19.99 | 10 70% | 300 | $6.0k (exactly $5,997) | Kimchi Corp | |
 | Way of the Dragons | · EA | $4.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | Said Yavuz |
 | Dragon Expedition | $5.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $539 (exactly $539) | Eternal Studio | |
 | Gods Of Fire | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Nest of Games | |
 | Through Blood and Dragons - Dragon Wars | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Dream Foundry Games | |
 | Dragons: the helmet of the Forkai | $5.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | forgedcellentertainment | |
 | Scales and Tails | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Burning Fur Productions |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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