Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based TacticsTurn-Based Tactics + Dogs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dog Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Dogs

Only 11 developers shipped a Dog Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, DOG WITCH, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $630 against a market of $630. 12 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 12 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Dogs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.4k → $807 → $15k
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Dogs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $629 (exactly $629)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $14,840)
Top 5% $97k (exactly $96,803)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 27
Announced 12
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Dogs
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 90% positive over 479 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $630, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $96k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fuga: Melodies of Steel older $39.99 1,181 93% 35k $1.4M (exactly $1,416,846) CyberConnect2
DOG WITCH $9.99 323 89% 9.7k $97k (exactly $96,803) Heckmouse
TunTown older $4.99 278 98% 8.3k $42k (exactly $41,617) SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT, DOMO Studio
Pup Champs $12.99 101 98% 3.0k $39k (exactly $39,360) Afterburn
Doll Explorer older $9.99 96 91% 2.9k $29k (exactly $28,771) Pico Games
The Black Cat Magician older $3.99 224 90% 6.7k $27k (exactly $26,813) cryhades
Kemono Mahjong older $4.99 142 89% 4.3k $21k (exactly $21,257) Cyberdog Software
Roguematch : The Extraplanar Invasion $14.99 33 84% 990 $15k (exactly $14,840) Starstruck Games
Defend The Bits TD · EA older $12.99 34 76% 1.0k $13k (exactly $13,250) PlaySide North
Steam Tactics older $4.99 51 88% 1.5k $7.6k (exactly $7,635) Igor Rashkuev
Kemotaku $15.99 7 100% 210 $3.4k (exactly $3,358) Kojika Games
FightCum - Furry & Hentai $2.99 9 66% 270 $807 (exactly $807) Sensational
Bobo in Hell $6.99 3 66% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Arcana Rebels
Fur and Void $9.99 2 0% 60 $599 (exactly $599) DFS
포포의 모험 (The Adventures of Popo) $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) 토파가넷
Paw Paw Death Festival $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Daiyu.studio
Dog Gone Cats: Tail of 300 Days (Pawlike Edition) $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Team Pueo

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.