Do I ship it?

GamesTanksTanks + Turn-Based Tactics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tanks Turn-Based Tactics?

Tanks + Turn-Based Tactics

Of 24 developers who shipped a Tanks Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×4.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $1.1k. Revenue is up 415% on the market; 24 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 415% on the market, 24 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tanks + Turn-Based Tactics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $643k → $3.0k → $50k → $2.2k → $28k → $40k (still earning) → $2.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tanks + Turn-Based Tactics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $1.1k (exactly $1,078)
Median $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 25% $33k (exactly $33,452)
Top 5% $410k (exactly $410,086)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 90
Announced 24
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 415% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tanks
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tanks, Turn-Based Tactics; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Turn-Based Strategy, Tactical
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 1,695 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $3.0k, 1 in 4 over $33k, 1 in 20 over $410k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tanks with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair25 devs · median $5.4k · 26 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  3. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 13 announced
  4. + Open WorldFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  5. + 2D PlatformerFair11 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds10 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  7. + RPGPoor odds13 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  8. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds18 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced
  9. + Action RTSPoor odds12 devs · median $4.0k · 19 announced
  10. + Real Time TacticsPoor odds22 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  11. + TacticalPoor odds49 devs · median $2.5k · 85 announced
  12. + SimulationPoor odds35 devs · median $2.3k · 56 announced

All 71 pairs on the Tanks page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Valkyria Chronicles 4 Complete Edition older $49.99 5,691 86% 171k $8.5M (exactly $8,534,793) SEGA
Phantom Brigade older $29.99 4,412 81% 132k $4.0M (exactly $3,969,476) Brace Yourself Games
Panzer Corps Gold older $29.99 2,227 91% 67k $2.0M (exactly $2,003,632) Flashback Games, The Lordz Games Studio
Fuga: Melodies of Steel older $39.99 1,181 93% 35k $1.4M (exactly $1,416,846) CyberConnect2
Combat Mission Shock Force 2 older $59.99 624 80% 19k $1.1M (exactly $1,123,013) Battlefront
The Troop older $39.99 816 83% 24k $979k (exactly $978,955) Giant Flame
FRONT MISSION 1st: Remake older $34.99 745 77% 22k $782k (exactly $782,026) Forever Entertainment S. A.
Hex of Steel older $24.99 863 95% 26k $647k (exactly $646,991) War Frogs Studio
Second Front older $34.99 613 78% 18k $643k (exactly $643,466) Hexdraw
Headquarters: World War II older $39.99 508 74% 15k $609k (exactly $609,448) Starni Games
FRONT MISSION 3: Remake $34.99 453 74% 14k $476k (exactly $475,514) MegaPixel Studio S.A.
Warside $24.99 547 68% 16k $410k (exactly $410,086) LAVABIRD
Fuga: Melodies of Steel 3 $39.99 220 89% 6.6k $264k (exactly $263,934) CyberConnect2
大戦略SSB2 $59.99 36 66% 1.1k $65k (exactly $64,789) Systemsoft beta, Inc.
Apes Warfare $14.99 90 95% 2.7k $40k (exactly $40,473) GigaQuests, STOIC Ent.
Mini Tank Mayhem $11.99 93 88% 2.8k $33k (exactly $33,452) Algorocks
Earth vs Mars $14.99 74 85% 2.2k $33k (exactly $33,278) Relic Entertainment
Neuroshima Hex $9.99 93 72% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,872) Baked Games
Tactical Annihilation $15.99 56 98% 1.7k $27k (exactly $26,863) B.G. Game Studio
Frontline: Assault Corps WW2 $14.99 33 75% 990 $15k (exactly $14,840) Frontline: Games Series

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.