Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Tactics › Turn-Based Tactics + Dice

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dice Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Dice

Of 47 developers who shipped a Dice Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 53 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×2.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $300. Revenue is up 85% on the market; 53 games are announced against 36 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 85% on the market, 53 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Dice
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 47
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $2.4k → $11k → $599 (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Dice: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 47
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,648)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $13,486)
Top 5% $336k (exactly $335,866)
Developers, 2 yr 47
Released games 60
Announced 53
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 85% on the market, supply 225% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Dice
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics, Dice; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Turn-Based Strategy, RPG
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 3,692 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $330k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 53 games are announced against 36 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  5. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  6. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  9. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  10. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  11. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  12. + Local MultiplayerLong shot101 devs · median $239 · 121 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Gordian Quest 2022 · $3.2M Dice & Fold 2024 · $1.4M Demeo x Dungeons & Dragons: Battlemarked 2025 · $1.1M Aether & Iron 2026 · $391k Viractal: Will You Trust Your Party? 2026 · $336k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gordian Quest older $19.99 5,259 88% 158k $3.2M (exactly $3,153,822) Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holding… (Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holdings Pte Ltd)
Dice & Fold older $12.99 3,491 83% 105k $1.4M (exactly $1,360,443) Tinymice Entertainment
Demeo x Dungeons & Dragons: Battlemarked $29.99 1,235 82% 37k $1.1M (exactly $1,111,130) Resolution Games
Aether & Iron $24.99 521 84% 16k $391k (exactly $390,594) Seismic Squirrel, Chaos Theory Games
Viractal: Will You Trust Your Party? $24.99 448 88% 13k $336k (exactly $335,866) Sting
Dobbel Dungeon $19.99 441 92% 13k $264k (exactly $264,468) Gamepie
Heroes of Normandie older $29.99 212 72% 6.4k $191k (exactly $190,736) Cat Rabbit
Circadian Dice older $5.99 553 94% 17k $99k (exactly $99,374) Shuffle Up Games
Die For The Lich · EA $11.99 275 78% 8.3k $99k (exactly $98,918) Monovoid
DOG WITCH $9.99 323 89% 9.7k $97k (exactly $96,803) Heckmouse
Archon Soul $13.99 170 88% 5.1k $71k (exactly $71,349) PolyGryph
Flint: Treasure of Oblivion $24.99 92 51% 2.8k $69k (exactly $68,972) Savage Level
Pip My Dice $10.99 134 87% 4.0k $44k (exactly $44,180) Diving Swan Games
VED $19.99 53 79% 1.6k $32k (exactly $31,784) Karaclan

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.