Do I ship it?

Games › Procedural Generation › Procedural Generation + Dogs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dog Procedural Generation game?

Procedural Generation + Dogs

Only 18 developers shipped a Dog Procedural Generation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pratfall, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×2.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $670k, ×1411 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 14 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 14 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Procedural Generation + Dogs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $899 → $15k → $3.6k (still earning) → $839 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Procedural Generation + Dogs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $959 (exactly $959)
Top 25% $7.1k (exactly $7,130)
Top 5% $670k (exactly $670,441)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 35
Announced 14
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Procedural Generation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Dogs
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Procedural Generation; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Character Customization, Dungeon Crawler
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 3,280 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $960, 1 in 4 over $7.1k, 1 in 20 over $670k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Procedural Generation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SnowFair11 devs · median $3.0k · 16 announced
  2. + Traditional RoguelikeFair71 devs · median $2.0k · 93 announced
  3. + DetectiveFair29 devs · median $1.5k · 30 announced
  4. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $1.3k · 23 announced
  5. + TypingFair26 devs · median $1.1k · 11 announced
  6. + IdlerFair98 devs · median $807 · 107 announced
  7. + LogicFair137 devs · median $478 · 149 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair57 devs · median $449 · 62 announced
  9. + Precision PlatformerFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  10. + Hidden ObjectFair58 devs · median $418 · 56 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds31 devs · median $77k · 95 announced
  12. + TrainsPoor odds22 devs · median $30k · 35 announced

All 222 pairs on the Procedural Generation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Wobbledogs 2022 · $8.3M The Flame in the Flood 2016 · $1.2M Pratfall 2026 · $670k METAL DOGS 2023 · $459k Gourdlets 2024 · $293k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Wobbledogs older $19.99 13,770 98% 413k $8.3M (exactly $8,257,869) Animal Uprising
The Flame in the Flood older $14.99 2,709 76% 81k $1.2M (exactly $1,218,237) The Molasses Flood
Pratfall $7.99 2,797 90% 84k $670k (exactly $670,441) Quad Head
METAL DOGS older $19.99 766 81% 23k $459k (exactly $459,370) 24Frame,inc.
Gourdlets older $4.99 1,954 92% 59k $293k (exactly $292,514) AuntyGames
DOG WITCH $9.99 323 89% 9.7k $97k (exactly $96,803) Heckmouse
Fidel Dungeon Rescue older $9.99 316 94% 9.5k $95k (exactly $94,705) Daniel Benmergui, Jeremías Babini, Hern… (Daniel Benmergui, Jeremías Babini, Hernán Rozenwasser)
Nebula Flow $17.99 37 97% 1.1k $20k (exactly $19,969) After Nap Games
Roguematch : The Extraplanar Invasion $14.99 33 84% 990 $15k (exactly $14,840) Starstruck Games
Landelver · EA older $19.99 12 41% 360 $7.2k (exactly $7,196) XINGXIAN NET
Mechanines Tower Defense $6.99 34 94% 1.0k $7.1k (exactly $7,130) João Kecek & Camille Regel
Never Ending Beyond $9.99 20 80% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) One More Dream Studios
Mirror Throne: Auto Battler $6.99 21 90% 630 $4.4k (exactly $4,404) Zackavelli
Pawful Dice $14.99 8 100% 240 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Anomalie Studio
PuzzleVerse $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) BlessedForgeGames
Flock of Dogs $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Max Clark

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.