Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + Dogs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dog Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Dogs

Of 22 developers who shipped a Dog Immersive Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.7k, ×3.1 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $900k, ×603 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 39 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 39 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Dogs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $20k → $5.9k → $13k → $5.7k → $718 → $238k (still earning) → $360 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Dogs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $718 (exactly $718)
Median $4.7k (exactly $4,716)
Top 25% $238k (exactly $237,891)
Top 5% $903k (exactly $902,639)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 61
Announced 39
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Dogs
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Adventure, Life Sim
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Relaxing, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 6,271 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $4.7k, 1 in 4 over $230k, 1 in 20 over $900k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
No Place Like Home older $19.99 3,784 78% 114k $2.3M (exactly $2,269,265) Chicken Launcher
Animal Shelter older $19.99 3,642 87% 109k $2.2M (exactly $2,184,107) Games Incubator
Way of the Hunter 2 · EA $34.99 1,534 73% 46k $1.6M (exactly $1,610,240) Nine Rocks Games
To The Rescue! older $19.99 1,865 66% 56k $1.1M (exactly $1,118,440) Little Rock Games, indie.io
Animal Shelter 2 $24.99 1,204 79% 36k $903k (exactly $902,639) Games Incubator
Restore Your Island $12.99 1,631 77% 49k $636k (exactly $635,601) Paiband Game Studio
Anthro Heat $29.99 629 92% 19k $566k (exactly $565,911) Blue Lizard Studios
Above the Snow $24.99 383 75% 11k $287k (exactly $287,135) Above the Desk
Sunset Hills older $17.99 451 61% 14k $243k (exactly $243,405) Cotton Game
Exotica 2: Pet Shop Simulator $14.99 529 75% 16k $238k (exactly $237,891) Konrul Game
Rancher: A new life · EA $19.99 265 64% 8.0k $159k (exactly $158,920) Sim Farm S.A.
Animal Trainer Simulator $14.99 29 37% 870 $13k (exactly $13,041) Games Incubator
Animal Simulator $8.99 39 30% 1.2k $11k (exactly $10,518) Imperian Online - Core
Shop Simulator: Pet Shop $9.99 28 82% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) Three River Games (3RG)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.