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Should I ship a Turn-Based Combat Diplomacy game?
Diplomacy + Turn-Based Combat
Only 7 developers shipped a Turn-Based Combat Diplomacy game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Global Protocol: New World Order, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×6.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.2k against a market of $630. 27 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $989 (exactly $989) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) |
| Top 25% | $17k (exactly $16,639) |
| Top 5% | $51k (exactly $50,974) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 190% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Diplomacy
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Turn-Based Combat
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Diplomacy, Turn-Based Combat
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.
The top 10 games average 77% positive over 22,447 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $990. 27 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Diplomacy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Interactive FictionFair
- + Space SimLong shot
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + SurvivalPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Total War: ROME REMASTERED | older | $29.99 | 12,627 77% | 379k | $11M (exactly $11,360,512) | Creative Assembly, Feral Interactive |
| | Millennia | older | $39.99 | 2,976 67% | 89k | $3.6M (exactly $3,570,307) | C Prompt Games |
| | Renowned Explorers: International Society | older | $19.99 | 2,307 91% | 69k | $1.4M (exactly $1,383,508) | Abbey Games |
| | Fallen Enchantress: Legendary Heroes | older | $24.99 | 1,655 78% | 50k | $1.2M (exactly $1,240,754) | Stardock Entertainment |
| | Interstellar Space: Genesis | older | $29.99 | 712 83% | 21k | $641k (exactly $640,586) | Praxis Games |
| | Nexus 5X | older | $14.99 | 884 90% | 27k | $398k (exactly $397,535) | Whatboy Games |
| | Pax Nova | older | $24.99 | 397 53% | 12k | $298k (exactly $297,631) | Grey Wolf Entertainment |
| | Halcyon 6: Starbase Commander (LIGHTSPEED EDITION) | older | $14.99 | 587 80% | 18k | $264k (exactly $263,974) | Massive Damage, Inc. |
| | Tortuga - A Pirate's Tale | older | $24.99 | 132 51% | 4.0k | $99k (exactly $98,960) | Gaming Minds Studios |
| | Space Wreck | older | $16.99 | 170 88% | 5.1k | $87k (exactly $86,649) | Pahris Entertainment SIA |
| | Global Protocol: New World Order | · EA | $19.99 | 85 71% | 2.6k | $51k (exactly $50,974) | Dorlion Interactive |
| | Great Powers | $14.99 | 37 67% | 1.1k | $17k (exactly $16,639) | Flame-Dragons, Flame-Dragons | |
| | MA 2 – President Simulator | $4.99 | 13 69% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | Oxiwyle Inc. | |
| | Rename the History | $4.99 | 8 37% | 240 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | Codime Dev | |
| | SIM Election USA | $10.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $989 (exactly $989) | SunsixStudios | |
| | Mark's Power | $0.99 | 19 73% | 570 | $564 (exactly $564) | Dmitriy Zaletov | |
| | Coup Ahoo | $2.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $269 (exactly $269) | Antti Haavikko |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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