Do I ship it?

GamesDiplomacyDiplomacy + Time Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Management Diplomacy game?

Diplomacy + Time Management

Only 8 developers shipped a Time Management Diplomacy game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Riftborne, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×4.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $25k, ×41 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 24 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Diplomacy + Time Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Diplomacy + Time Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,699)
Top 25% $21k (exactly $20,693)
Top 5% $26k (exactly $25,888)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 26
Announced 24
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 250% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Diplomacy
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Diplomacy, Time Management
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 5,837 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $20k, 1 in 20 over $25k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Diplomacy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Visual NovelFair16 devs · median $5.4k · 19 announced
  2. + Interactive FictionFair12 devs · median $1.0k · 17 announced
  3. + Space SimLong shot7 devs · median $360 · 14 announced
  4. + Open WorldPoor odds13 devs · median $1.8M · 38 announced
  5. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $520k · 47 announced
  6. + PvPPoor odds10 devs · median $124k · 44 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds34 devs · median $116k · 89 announced
  8. + City BuilderPoor odds26 devs · median $108k · 47 announced
  9. + SurvivalPoor odds16 devs · median $100k · 28 announced
  10. + 4XPoor odds29 devs · median $86k · 79 announced
  11. + HistoricalPoor odds50 devs · median $79k · 92 announced
  12. + Alternate HistoryPoor odds30 devs · median $79k · 48 announced

All 57 pairs on the Diplomacy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dummynation older $11.99 3,127 88% 94k $1.1M (exactly $1,124,782) Alejandro Hernández Ferrero
Computer Tycoon · EA older $19.99 916 84% 27k $549k (exactly $549,325) Progorion
Republic of Pirates older $24.99 420 70% 13k $315k (exactly $314,874) Crazy Goat Games
Puffin Planes older $11.99 340 94% 10k $122k (exactly $122,298) CATINRAIN LLC
Marble Age older $5.99 655 81% 20k $118k (exactly $117,704) Clarus Victoria
Palais de Reine older $29.99 123 86% 3.7k $111k (exactly $110,663) KOGADO STUDIO
Riftborne · EA $7.99 108 91% 3.2k $26k (exactly $25,888) Pitio Productions
Social Justice Warriors older $7.99 100 50% 3.0k $24k (exactly $23,970) Nonadecimal Creative
The Guild 1 Remake: Europa 1410 · EA $29.99 23 60% 690 $21k (exactly $20,693) Ashborne Games
Startup Valley Adventure older $12.99 25 60% 750 $9.7k (exactly $9,742) Fair Games Studio
Nuice Industries · EA $7.99 25 96% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) CastleWind
World Diplomat $29.99 3 33% 90 $2.7k (exactly $2,699) iGindisGames
Doctrine: C.U.L.T. $4.99 13 69% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Miracles on a Stick
Please Proceed To The Dungeon $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Noodle Interactive
Gladatora $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Jeremiah Eastman
D.R.I.F.T. $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) ResilientLogic Games
Empire’s Supreme Command · EA $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) iGindisGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.