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Should I ship a Time Management Diplomacy game?
Diplomacy + Time Management
Only 8 developers shipped a Time Management Diplomacy game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Riftborne, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×4.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $25k, ×41 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.7k (exactly $2,699) |
| Top 25% | $21k (exactly $20,693) |
| Top 5% | $26k (exactly $25,888) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 24 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 250% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Diplomacy
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Time Management
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Diplomacy, Time Management
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 5,837 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Diplomacy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Interactive FictionFair
- + Space SimLong shot
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + SurvivalPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dummynation | older | $11.99 | 3,127 88% | 94k | $1.1M (exactly $1,124,782) | Alejandro Hernández Ferrero |
| | Computer Tycoon | · EA older | $19.99 | 916 84% | 27k | $549k (exactly $549,325) | Progorion |
| | Republic of Pirates | older | $24.99 | 420 70% | 13k | $315k (exactly $314,874) | Crazy Goat Games |
| | Puffin Planes | older | $11.99 | 340 94% | 10k | $122k (exactly $122,298) | CATINRAIN LLC |
| | Marble Age | older | $5.99 | 655 81% | 20k | $118k (exactly $117,704) | Clarus Victoria |
| | Palais de Reine | older | $29.99 | 123 86% | 3.7k | $111k (exactly $110,663) | KOGADO STUDIO |
| | Riftborne | · EA | $7.99 | 108 91% | 3.2k | $26k (exactly $25,888) | Pitio Productions |
| | Social Justice Warriors | older | $7.99 | 100 50% | 3.0k | $24k (exactly $23,970) | Nonadecimal Creative |
| | The Guild 1 Remake: Europa 1410 | · EA | $29.99 | 23 60% | 690 | $21k (exactly $20,693) | Ashborne Games |
| | Startup Valley Adventure | older | $12.99 | 25 60% | 750 | $9.7k (exactly $9,742) | Fair Games Studio |
| | Nuice Industries | · EA | $7.99 | 25 96% | 750 | $6.0k (exactly $5,992) | CastleWind |
| | World Diplomat | $29.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $2.7k (exactly $2,699) | iGindisGames | |
| | Doctrine: C.U.L.T. | $4.99 | 13 69% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | Miracles on a Stick | |
| | Please Proceed To The Dungeon | $4.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $1.6k (exactly $1,647) | Noodle Interactive | |
| | Gladatora | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Jeremiah Eastman | |
| | D.R.I.F.T. | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | ResilientLogic Games | |
| | Empire’s Supreme Command | · EA | $7.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | iGindisGames |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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