Games › Diplomacy › Diplomacy + Strategy RPG
Should I ship a Strategy RPG Diplomacy game?
Diplomacy + Strategy RPG
Only 12 developers shipped a Strategy RPG Diplomacy game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The End of History, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $5.4k, ×8.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $300k, ×490 the market median. Revenue is up 560% on the market; 42 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $359 (exactly $359) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) |
| Top 25% | $21k (exactly $20,693) |
| Top 5% | $307k (exactly $307,440) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 50 |
| Announced | 42 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 560% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Diplomacy
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Strategy RPG
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Diplomacy, Strategy RPG
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 70% positive over 900 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Diplomacy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Interactive FictionFair
- + Space SimLong shot
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + SurvivalPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
Comparable games
Hearts of Iron IV 2016 · $412M 
HighFleet 2021 · $6.3M 
NEBULOUS: Fleet Command 2022 · EA · $3.7M 
DEFCON 2006 · $1.2M 
Rise Of The White Sun - 白日升 2023 · $541k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Hearts of Iron IV | older | $49.99 | 274,901 90% | 8.2M | $412M (exactly $412,269,030) | Paradox Development Studio |
| | HighFleet | older | $29.99 | 7,024 88% | 211k | $6.3M (exactly $6,319,493) | Konstantin Koshutin |
| | NEBULOUS: Fleet Command | · EA older | $29.99 | 4,074 81% | 122k | $3.7M (exactly $3,665,378) | Eridanus Industries |
| | DEFCON | older | $11.99 | 3,460 86% | 104k | $1.2M (exactly $1,244,562) | Introversion Software |
| | Rise Of The White Sun - 白日升 | older | $24.99 | 721 86% | 22k | $541k (exactly $540,534) | Maestro Cinetik |
 | The Shrouded Isle | older | $12.99 | 1,166 71% | 35k | $454k (exactly $454,390) | Jongwoo Kim, Erica Lahaie, FX Bilodeau,… (Jongwoo Kim, Erica Lahaie, FX Bilodeau, Tanya Short) |
 | Star Dynasties | older | $30.99 | 421 70% | 13k | $391k (exactly $391,404) | Pawley Games |
 | Base One | older | $24.99 | 458 36% | 14k | $343k (exactly $343,363) | PixFroze |
 | The End of History | · EA | $28.00 | 366 68% | 11k | $307k (exactly $307,440) | Tatamibeya |
 | Six Ages: Ride Like the Wind | older | $19.99 | 460 81% | 14k | $276k (exactly $275,862) | A Sharp |
 | 吾皇万岁 | $4.99 | 422 68% | 13k | $63k (exactly $63,173) | AI GAME STUDIO | |
 | The Guild 1 Remake: Europa 1410 | · EA | $29.99 | 23 60% | 690 | $21k (exactly $20,693) | Ashborne Games |
 | Statecraft: Corrupted Democracy | $9.99 | 33 90% | 990 | $9.9k (exactly $9,890) | Engincan Çiçek, Bad Engine Studio | |
 | Nuice Industries | · EA | $7.99 | 25 96% | 750 | $6.0k (exactly $5,992) | CastleWind |
 | My Liege | $9.99 | 18 94% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | SugoiPenguin Gaming | |
 | World Diplomat | $29.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $2.7k (exactly $2,699) | iGindisGames | |
 | President of Steel | $5.00 | 4 75% | 120 | $600 (exactly $600) | volaryus | |
 | RUPTURR | · EA | $5.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $359 (exactly $359) | Aikon Interactive |
 | Front Frontiers | $2.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $359 (exactly $359) | baus96 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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