Games › Diplomacy › Diplomacy + Sci-fi
Should I ship a Sci-fi Diplomacy game?
Diplomacy + Sci-fi
Only 12 developers shipped a Sci-fi Diplomacy game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Realpolitiks 3: Earth and Beyond, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×302 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 39 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $419 (exactly $419) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) |
| Top 25% | $39k (exactly $38,674) |
| Top 5% | $190k (exactly $189,674) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 65 |
| Announced | 39 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 400% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Diplomacy
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 59% positive over 559 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $420. 39 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Diplomacy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Interactive FictionFair
- + Space SimLong shot
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + SurvivalPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
Comparable games
Stellaris 2016 · $210M 
Dune: Spice Wars 2023 · $12M 
HighFleet 2021 · $6.3M 
Sins of a Solar Empire®: Rebellion 2012 · $6.1M 
Galactic Civilizations IV 2023 · $2.6M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Stellaris | older | $49.99 | 139,718 85% | 4.2M | $210M (exactly $209,535,085) | Paradox Development Studio |
| | Dune: Spice Wars | older | $34.99 | 11,561 79% | 347k | $12M (exactly $12,135,582) | Shiro Games |
| | HighFleet | older | $29.99 | 7,024 88% | 211k | $6.3M (exactly $6,319,493) | Konstantin Koshutin |
| | Sins of a Solar Empire®: Rebellion | older | $19.99 | 10,243 93% | 307k | $6.1M (exactly $6,142,727) | Ironclad Games Corporation, Stardock En… (Ironclad Games Corporation, Stardock Entertainment) |
| | Galactic Civilizations IV | older | $39.99 | 2,207 72% | 66k | $2.6M (exactly $2,647,738) | Stardock Entertainment |
 | ENDLESS Space™ - Definitive Edition | older | $9.99 | 6,626 79% | 199k | $2.0M (exactly $1,985,812) | AMPLITUDE Studios |
 | Interstellar Space: Genesis | older | $29.99 | 712 83% | 21k | $641k (exactly $640,586) | Praxis Games |
 | The Fermi Paradox | · EA older | $18.99 | 956 76% | 29k | $545k (exactly $544,633) | Anomaly Games |
 | Nexus 5X | older | $14.99 | 884 90% | 27k | $398k (exactly $397,535) | Whatboy Games |
 | Star Dynasties | older | $30.99 | 421 70% | 13k | $391k (exactly $391,404) | Pawley Games |
 | Realpolitiks 3: Earth and Beyond | $24.99 | 253 39% | 7.6k | $190k (exactly $189,674) | Jujubee | |
 | Galaxy Princess Zorana | $24.99 | 154 88% | 4.6k | $115k (exactly $115,454) | Hanako Games | |
 | Lunar Ascendant | $14.99 | 86 44% | 2.6k | $39k (exactly $38,674) | Darts Games | |
 | Donutal | $9.99 | 30 93% | 900 | $9.0k (exactly $8,991) | Arc System Works | |
 | Alexandria IV | $11.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | J. M. Beraldo, Time Galleon | |
 | Space Trader Corps | $9.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) | D Squires | |
 | Eon Empires | $9.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | Aeonforge Studio | |
 | Mark's Power | $0.99 | 19 73% | 570 | $564 (exactly $564) | Dmitriy Zaletov | |
 | Junkyard Universe | $6.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $419 (exactly $419) | Sarah Dressel | |
 | GalactiWar - Empire Simulator | $11.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $360 (exactly $360) | Silver |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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