Games › Diplomacy › Diplomacy + Procedural Generation
Should I ship a Procedural Generation Diplomacy game?
Diplomacy + Procedural Generation
Only 6 developers shipped a Procedural Generation Diplomacy game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The End of History, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×7.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $22k, ×34 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $300k, ×490 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 35 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $719 (exactly $719) |
|---|---|
| Median | $22k (exactly $21,599) |
| Top 25% | $33k (exactly $32,599) |
| Top 5% | $307k (exactly $307,440) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 35 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 400% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Diplomacy
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Procedural Generation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Diplomacy, Procedural Generation
- Price point
- $11.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $18.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 151,909 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $720. 35 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Diplomacy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Interactive FictionFair
- + Space SimLong shot
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + SurvivalPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
Comparable games
Stellaris 2016 · $210M 
Fabledom 2024 · $4.3M 
Interstellar Space: Genesis 2019 · $641k 
The Fermi Paradox 2021 · EA · $545k 
The Shrouded Isle 2017 · $454k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Stellaris | older | $49.99 | 139,718 85% | 4.2M | $210M (exactly $209,535,085) | Paradox Development Studio |
| | Fabledom | older | $20.99 | 6,772 85% | 203k | $4.3M (exactly $4,264,328) | Grenaa Games |
| | Interstellar Space: Genesis | older | $29.99 | 712 83% | 21k | $641k (exactly $640,586) | Praxis Games |
| | The Fermi Paradox | · EA older | $18.99 | 956 76% | 29k | $545k (exactly $544,633) | Anomaly Games |
| | The Shrouded Isle | older | $12.99 | 1,166 71% | 35k | $454k (exactly $454,390) | Jongwoo Kim, Erica Lahaie, FX Bilodeau,… (Jongwoo Kim, Erica Lahaie, FX Bilodeau, Tanya Short) |
 | Imperiums: Greek Wars | older | $29.99 | 453 83% | 14k | $408k (exactly $407,564) | Kube Games |
 | Star Dynasties | older | $30.99 | 421 70% | 13k | $391k (exactly $391,404) | Pawley Games |
 | The End of History | · EA | $28.00 | 366 68% | 11k | $307k (exactly $307,440) | Tatamibeya |
 | Pax Nova | older | $24.99 | 397 53% | 12k | $298k (exactly $297,631) | Grey Wolf Entertainment |
 | Cosmonautica | older | $9.99 | 948 48% | 28k | $284k (exactly $284,116) | Chasing Carrots |
 | Settler's Domain | $12.49 | 87 65% | 2.6k | $33k (exactly $32,599) | rick | |
 | Kiloton | $6.99 | 103 96% | 3.1k | $22k (exactly $21,599) | Jack Morehart | |
 | Conqueror's Stage | $7.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $3.8k (exactly $3,835) | LeftLane Interactive | |
 | Behind the Sword | $7.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $719 (exactly $719) | Agustin Vuelta | |
 | GalactiWar - Empire Simulator | $11.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $360 (exactly $360) | Silver |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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