Do I ship it?

GamesCharacter CustomizationCharacter Customization + Diplomacy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Character Customization Diplomacy game?

Character Customization + Diplomacy

Only 9 developers shipped a Character Customization Diplomacy game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, ROMANCE OF THE THREE KINGDOMS 8 REMAKE, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×5.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $63k, ×101 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $5.6M, ×8935 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 31 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 100.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 31 announced, ×5.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Character Customization + Diplomacy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Character Customization + Diplomacy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $1.5k (exactly $1,482)
Median $63k (exactly $63,173)
Top 25% $798k (exactly $797,940)
Top 5% $5.6M (exactly $5,611,465)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 54
Announced 31
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Character Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Diplomacy
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Character Customization, Diplomacy
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $19.99.

The top 10 games average 65% positive over 32,879 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $63k, 1 in 4 over $790k, 1 in 20 over $5.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 31 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Character Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds14 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced
  2. + Real-TimeStrong odds7 devs · median $2.0k · 6 announced
  3. + Music-Based Procedural GenerationFair10 devs · median $18k · 8 announced
  4. + TransportationFair19 devs · median $7.2k · 24 announced
  5. + MinigamesFair27 devs · median $5.7k · 34 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.2k · 13 announced
  7. + BikesFair11 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  8. + IdlerFair210 devs · median $1.2k · 286 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair146 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  10. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $836 · 32 announced
  11. + Precision PlatformerFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  12. + TypingFair27 devs · median $539 · 38 announced

All 250 pairs on the Character Customization page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ROMANCE OF THE THREE KINGDOMS XIV older $59.99 13,086 62% 393k $24M (exactly $23,550,874) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Romance of the Three Kingdoms XIII older $59.99 5,828 57% 175k $10M (exactly $10,488,652) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
ROMANCE OF THE THREE KINGDOMS 8 REMAKE $59.99 3,118 49% 94k $5.6M (exactly $5,611,465) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Romance of the Three Kingdoms XI with Power Up Kit older $39.99 3,754 92% 113k $4.5M (exactly $4,503,674) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Eastern Era $24.99 3,028 65% 91k $2.3M (exactly $2,270,092) FunYoo Games
NOBUNAGA'S AMBITION: Sphere of Influence - Ascension older $59.99 814 73% 24k $1.5M (exactly $1,464,956) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
NOBUNAGA'S AMBITION: Taishi older $59.99 804 51% 24k $1.4M (exactly $1,446,959) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Power & Revolution 2020 Edition older $49.99 769 63% 23k $1.2M (exactly $1,153,269) Eversim
NOBUNAGA'S AMBITION: Sphere of Influence older $59.99 571 83% 17k $1.0M (exactly $1,027,629) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
NOBUNAGA'S AMBITION: Souzou older $24.99 1,107 86% 33k $830k (exactly $829,918) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Guilty as Sock! $5.50 4,836 89% 145k $798k (exactly $797,940) Demon Max
The End of History · EA $28.00 366 68% 11k $307k (exactly $307,440) Tatamibeya
吾皇万岁 $4.99 422 68% 13k $63k (exactly $63,173) AI GAME STUDIO
My Liege $9.99 18 94% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) SugoiPenguin Gaming
Age of Resistance $4.49 11 100% 330 $1.5k (exactly $1,482) Luis Humberto
SIM Election USA $10.99 3 66% 90 $989 (exactly $989) SunsixStudios
D.R.I.F.T. $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) ResilientLogic Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.