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Should I ship a Character Customization Diplomacy game?
Character Customization + Diplomacy
Only 9 developers shipped a Character Customization Diplomacy game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, ROMANCE OF THE THREE KINGDOMS 8 REMAKE, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×5.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $63k, ×101 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $5.6M, ×8935 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 31 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.5k (exactly $1,482) |
|---|---|
| Median | $63k (exactly $63,173) |
| Top 25% | $798k (exactly $797,940) |
| Top 5% | $5.6M (exactly $5,611,465) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 54 |
| Announced | 31 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Character Customization
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Diplomacy
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Character Customization, Diplomacy
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $19.99.
The top 10 games average 65% positive over 32,879 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 31 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Character Customization with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Football (American)Strong odds
- + Real-TimeStrong odds
- + Music-Based Procedural GenerationFair
- + TransportationFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + DwarvesFair
- + BikesFair
- + IdlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + TypingFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | ROMANCE OF THE THREE KINGDOMS XIV | older | $59.99 | 13,086 62% | 393k | $24M (exactly $23,550,874) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | Romance of the Three Kingdoms XIII | older | $59.99 | 5,828 57% | 175k | $10M (exactly $10,488,652) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | ROMANCE OF THE THREE KINGDOMS 8 REMAKE | $59.99 | 3,118 49% | 94k | $5.6M (exactly $5,611,465) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. | |
| | Romance of the Three Kingdoms XI with Power Up Kit | older | $39.99 | 3,754 92% | 113k | $4.5M (exactly $4,503,674) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | Eastern Era | $24.99 | 3,028 65% | 91k | $2.3M (exactly $2,270,092) | FunYoo Games | |
| | NOBUNAGA'S AMBITION: Sphere of Influence - Ascension | older | $59.99 | 814 73% | 24k | $1.5M (exactly $1,464,956) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | NOBUNAGA'S AMBITION: Taishi | older | $59.99 | 804 51% | 24k | $1.4M (exactly $1,446,959) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | Power & Revolution 2020 Edition | older | $49.99 | 769 63% | 23k | $1.2M (exactly $1,153,269) | Eversim |
| | NOBUNAGA'S AMBITION: Sphere of Influence | older | $59.99 | 571 83% | 17k | $1.0M (exactly $1,027,629) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | NOBUNAGA'S AMBITION: Souzou | older | $24.99 | 1,107 86% | 33k | $830k (exactly $829,918) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | Guilty as Sock! | $5.50 | 4,836 89% | 145k | $798k (exactly $797,940) | Demon Max | |
| | The End of History | · EA | $28.00 | 366 68% | 11k | $307k (exactly $307,440) | Tatamibeya |
| | 吾皇万岁 | $4.99 | 422 68% | 13k | $63k (exactly $63,173) | AI GAME STUDIO | |
| | My Liege | $9.99 | 18 94% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | SugoiPenguin Gaming | |
| | Age of Resistance | $4.49 | 11 100% | 330 | $1.5k (exactly $1,482) | Luis Humberto | |
| | SIM Election USA | $10.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $989 (exactly $989) | SunsixStudios | |
| | D.R.I.F.T. | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | ResilientLogic Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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