Do I ship it?

GamesDynamic NarrationDynamic Narration + Detective

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Detective Dynamic Narration game?

Dynamic Narration + Detective

Of 25 developers who shipped a Detective Dynamic Narration game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 70 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×3.0 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×334 the market median. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 70 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 35% on the market, 70 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dynamic Narration + Detective
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $35k → $104k → $5.1k → $1.9k → $599 → $1.4k (still earning) → $24k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Dynamic Narration + Detective: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 25% $26k (exactly $26,110)
Top 5% $159k (exactly $158,841)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 80
Announced 70
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 155% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dynamic Narration
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Detective
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Dynamic Narration; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Investigation, Interactive Fiction, Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 3,473 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 70 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dynamic Narration with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + IncrementalFair19 devs · median $4.0k · 14 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  4. + ModernFair15 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced
  5. + TacticalFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  6. + LGBTQ+Poor odds12 devs · median $8.2k · 22 announced
  7. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $7.8k · 35 announced
  8. + RoguelitePoor odds10 devs · median $7.8k · 42 announced
  9. + Word GamePoor odds10 devs · median $5.2k · 17 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $4.4k · 40 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds31 devs · median $4.2k · 50 announced
  12. + ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $3.6k · 56 announced

All 84 pairs on the Dynamic Narration page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy older $29.99 35,628 97% 1.1M $32M (exactly $32,054,512) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Heavy Rain older $19.99 26,503 85% 795k $16M (exactly $15,893,849) Quantic Dream
Observer: System Redux older $29.99 2,462 84% 74k $2.2M (exactly $2,215,061) Bloober Team, Anshar Studios
Tesla Effect: A Tex Murphy Adventure older $19.99 628 90% 19k $377k (exactly $376,612) Big Finish Games
The Inquisitor older $39.99 277 66% 8.3k $332k (exactly $332,317) The Dust S.A.
Eternal Threads older $19.99 543 87% 16k $326k (exactly $325,637) Cosmonaut Studios
TR-49 $6.99 1,197 94% 36k $251k (exactly $251,011) inkle Ltd
Between Horizons – A Sci-Fi Detective Adventure older $15.99 395 88% 12k $189k (exactly $189,482) DigiTales Interactive
Betrayal At Club Low older $9.99 538 97% 16k $161k (exactly $161,239) Cosmo D Studios
Heaven Does Not Respond $9.99 530 90% 16k $159k (exactly $158,841) Rise Studios
Hymer 2000 $4.99 1,031 89% 31k $154k (exactly $154,341) doBell
Inspector Schmidt - The Ebbing $19.99 83 87% 2.5k $50k (exactly $49,775) Active Fungus Studios
Rehaunted $7.99 172 66% 5.2k $41k (exactly $41,228) Cauchemar
Omen Exitio: Hunger $9.99 117 88% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,065) Tiny Bull Studios
Mythos, Book One $12.99 67 83% 2.0k $26k (exactly $26,110) Nine of Swords Studios
Backseat $9.99 85 71% 2.6k $25k (exactly $25,474) HOGO Games
What Awaits, Aleksey? $15.99 51 86% 1.5k $24k (exactly $24,465) JKBC
Hank: Drowning On Dry Land $2.99 140 95% 4.2k $13k (exactly $12,558) My Next Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.