Do I ship it?

GamesInteractive FictionInteractive Fiction + Dark Fantasy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dark-Fantasy Interactive Fiction?

Interactive Fiction + Dark Fantasy

Of 146 developers who shipped a Dark-Fantasy Interactive Fiction in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 250 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×230 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 250 games are announced against 80 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 250 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Interactive Fiction + Dark Fantasy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 146
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.5k → $2.5k → $748 → $4.7k → $1.5k → $1.7k → $2.7k (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Interactive Fiction + Dark Fantasy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 146
Bottom 30% $539 (exactly $539)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,395)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $17,261)
Top 5% $145k (exactly $144,528)
Developers, 2 yr 146
Released games 400
Announced 250
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine
Dark Fantasy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Interactive Fiction; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Adventure, Choices Matter
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.49 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.49 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 10,137 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $140k.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 8 in 10 of the 97 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 250 games are announced against 80 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Interactive Fiction with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair164 devs · median $36k · 162 announced
  2. + Match 3Fair12 devs · median $4.8k · 7 announced
  3. + VampiresFair41 devs · median $1.8k · 52 announced
  4. + SportsFair19 devs · median $1.5k · 19 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair160 devs · median $1.4k · 144 announced
  6. + PiratesFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  7. + DrivingFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  8. + DiplomacyFair12 devs · median $1.0k · 17 announced
  9. + Perma DeathFair27 devs · median $959 · 28 announced
  10. + Board GameFair9 devs · median $657 · 12 announced
  11. + SnowFair10 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  12. + BuildingFair17 devs · median $449 · 20 announced

All 169 pairs on the Interactive Fiction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Little Misfortune older $19.99 11,789 92% 354k $7.1M (exactly $7,069,863) Killmonday Games AB
The Life and Suffering of Sir Brante older $19.99 8,151 89% 245k $4.9M (exactly $4,888,155) Sever, Schisma Games
Scarlet Hollow · EA older $29.99 4,833 97% 145k $4.3M (exactly $4,348,250) Black Tabby Games
Roadwarden older $10.99 4,476 94% 134k $1.5M (exactly $1,475,737) Moral Anxiety Studio
The Lord of the Rings: Gollum™ older $49.99 839 41% 25k $1.3M (exactly $1,258,248) Daedalic Entertainment
Gibbous - A Cthulhu Adventure older $19.99 2,089 89% 63k $1.3M (exactly $1,252,773) Stuck In Attic
Cabernet $19.99 2,025 94% 61k $1.2M (exactly $1,214,392) Party for Introverts
Forbidden Solitaire $15.99 2,245 96% 67k $1.1M (exactly $1,076,926) Grey Alien Games, Night Signal Entertai… (Grey Alien Games, Night Signal Entertainment)
The Life and Suffering of Prince Jerian $24.99 1,356 74% 41k $1.0M (exactly $1,016,593) Schisma Games
DevilConnection $16.66 1,951 98% 59k $975k (exactly $975,110) ChaoGames
Corruption Town · EA $14.99 992 88% 30k $446k (exactly $446,102) BoredBasmati
Parasite Black · EA $17.49 372 89% 11k $195k (exactly $195,188) Damned Studios
女儿国的诅咒 The Curse of Womanland $9.99 501 96% 15k $150k (exactly $150,150) 符离游戏(FuliGames)
The 7th Guest Remake $19.99 241 86% 7.2k $145k (exactly $144,528) Vertigo Games, Exkee
Sofia's Dark Fantasies — Season 1: Episodes 1 & 2 $14.99 318 71% 9.5k $143k (exactly $143,005) Greuceanu Heavy Industries
Kromlech · EA $29.99 136 65% 4.1k $122k (exactly $122,359) Perun Creative

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.