Do I ship it?

GamesTime ManipulationTime Manipulation + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Time Manipulation game?

Time Manipulation + Cyberpunk

Only 18 developers shipped a Cyberpunk Time Manipulation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Deadeye Deepfake Simulacrum, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×3.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $320k, ×521 the market median. Revenue is up 235% on the market; 42 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 235% on the market, 42 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Time Manipulation + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.3k → $1.2k → $1.0k → $2.1k → $899 (still earning) → $3.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Time Manipulation + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $899 (exactly $899)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,098)
Top 25% $6.7k (exactly $6,746)
Top 5% $327k (exactly $326,958)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 58
Announced 42
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 235% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Time Manipulation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Time Manipulation; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Bullet Hell
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, Retro
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 2,245 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $6.7k, 1 in 20 over $320k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Time Manipulation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair14 devs · median $2.7k · 9 announced
  2. + CapitalismFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + ModernFair12 devs · median $987 · 9 announced
  4. + PsychologicalFair18 devs · median $897 · 17 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $657 · 15 announced
  6. + RacingFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  7. + Precision PlatformerFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  8. + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 24 announced
  9. + RobotsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 16 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds7 devs · median $6.7k · 22 announced
  11. + DetectivePoor odds16 devs · median $6.5k · 32 announced
  12. + NoirPoor odds9 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced

All 103 pairs on the Time Manipulation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Katana ZERO older $14.99 66,341 97% 2.0M $30M (exactly $29,833,548) Askiisoft
SUPERHOT older $24.99 27,765 91% 833k $21M (exactly $20,815,420) SUPERHOT Team
SUPERHOT: MIND CONTROL DELETE older $24.99 9,247 85% 277k $6.9M (exactly $6,932,476) SUPERHOT Team
SUPERHOT VR older $24.99 7,978 82% 239k $6.0M (exactly $5,981,107) SUPERHOT Team
Nobody Wants to Die older $24.99 5,818 83% 175k $4.4M (exactly $4,361,755) Critical Hit Games
Deadeye Deepfake Simulacrum $12.99 839 98% 25k $327k (exactly $326,958) nodayshalleraseyou
Ascend to ZERO $11.99 867 82% 26k $312k (exactly $311,860) Flyway Games, Inc.
MotionRec $9.99 430 99% 13k $129k (exactly $128,871) HANDSUM
District Steel · EA older $24.99 76 93% 2.3k $57k (exactly $56,977) Barricade Studio
Wanted Killer VR · EA older $9.99 107 78% 3.2k $32k (exactly $32,068) Playsnak
COLD VR $19.99 28 60% 840 $17k (exactly $16,792) ALLWARE LLC
Remnants of the Rift $14.99 15 86% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Bromio
CYBER92 DATAWAR $9.92 14 50% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,166) Cyber92 Solo Developer
Echobreaker $8.99 12 100% 360 $3.2k (exactly $3,236) Upstream Arcade
KeyBreach $4.99 21 95% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) sawworm Games
Check & Clean $13.99 5 80% 150 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) Unexpected Games
Broken Time $3.99 14 100% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) N777

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.