Do I ship it?

GamesSurvival HorrorSurvival Horror + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Survival Horror?

Survival Horror + Cyberpunk

Only 15 developers shipped a Cyberpunk Survival Horror in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Killing Floor 3, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180, ×0.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 37 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper, while revenue is down 100% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 37 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival Horror + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.7k → $1.3k → $5.6k → $31k → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival Horror + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $24k (exactly $24,276)
Top 5% $20M (exactly $19,786,652)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 54
Announced 37
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival Horror
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 47% positive over 17,104 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $24k, 1 in 20 over $19M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival Horror with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair13 devs · median $31k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + SnowFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  6. + SportsFair5 devs · median $959 · 3 announced
  7. + Outbreak SimFair22 devs · median $958 · 24 announced
  8. + 3D PlatformerFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds10 devs · median $64k · 42 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds17 devs · median $52k · 21 announced
  12. + Spectacle fighterPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced

All 159 pairs on the Survival Horror page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ghostwire: Tokyo older $59.99 12,954 83% 389k $23M (exactly $23,313,314) Tango Gameworks
Killing Floor 3 $39.99 16,493 46% 495k $20M (exactly $19,786,652) Tripwire Interactive
SIGNALIS older $19.99 30,601 96% 918k $18M (exactly $18,351,420) rose-engine
System Shock older $39.99 9,786 90% 294k $12M (exactly $11,740,264) Nightdive Studios
Yuppie Psycho: Executive Edition older $16.99 8,003 95% 240k $4.1M (exactly $4,079,129) Baroque Decay
Receiver 2 older $19.99 2,852 90% 86k $1.7M (exactly $1,710,344) Wolfire Games
Apsulov: End of Gods older $19.99 1,509 86% 45k $905k (exactly $904,947) Angry Demon Studio
Hollowbody older $16.99 1,467 84% 44k $748k (exactly $747,730) Headware Games
P.A.M.E.L.A.® older $24.99 846 58% 25k $634k (exactly $634,246) NVYVE® Studios
Receiver older $4.99 2,603 85% 78k $390k (exactly $389,669) Wolfire Games
Creepy Redneck Dinosaur Mansion 3 $19.99 341 96% 10k $204k (exactly $204,498) Strange Scaffold
Cyber Rats $7.99 129 90% 3.9k $31k (exactly $30,921) Outpost Games
Lily’s Labyrinth of Lust $9.99 81 48% 2.4k $24k (exactly $24,276) Erommersion Studios
Ship Of Mist $5.99 31 77% 930 $5.6k (exactly $5,571) Tino Technology
The Last Human In The Universe $6.99 14 100% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Kotama Software
Deep Sheol $6.49 12 100% 360 $2.3k (exactly $2,336) Acid Arrow Studio, Sons of Welder
Fatal Gaming $1.99 3 66% 90 $179 (exactly $179) Hazmatik
What Lurks Inside $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Dimension Unknown Studio LLC
Masters · EA $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) KADUK VADIM

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.