Do I ship it?

GamesRunnerRunner + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Runner?

Runner + Cyberpunk

Of 39 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Runner in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×2.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $90 in the last 2 years and $180 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 25 developers shipped in the last year and 51 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 51 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Runner + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 39
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $299 → $238 → $210 → $1.0k → $89 → $0 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Runner + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 39
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $90 (exactly $90)
Top 25% $748 (exactly $748)
Top 5% $67k (exactly $67,215)
Developers, 2 yr 39
Released games 147
Announced 51
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Runner
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Runner; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Racing
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Relaxing, Retro
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 942 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $90, 1 in 4 over $740, 1 in 20 over $67k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 51 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Runner with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 10 announced
  2. + Local MultiplayerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced
  3. + PsychologicalFair14 devs · median $839 · 12 announced
  4. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $838 · 8 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair12 devs · median $750 · 11 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair15 devs · median $599 · 10 announced
  7. + FPSLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  8. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds12 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  9. + MusicPoor odds16 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  10. + Co-opPoor odds38 devs · median $1.0k · 64 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $898 · 64 announced
  12. + Interactive FictionPoor odds10 devs · median $839 · 16 announced

All 123 pairs on the Runner page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ghostrunner 2 older $39.99 7,981 80% 239k $9.6M (exactly $9,574,806) One More Level
Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst older $19.99 14,078 79% 422k $8.4M (exactly $8,442,577) DICE
Retrowave older $2.99 13,742 96% 412k $1.2M (exactly $1,232,657) RewindApp
Neon Drive older $9.99 1,664 86% 50k $499k (exactly $498,701) Fraoula, Spiky Crumb
DeadCore older $9.99 1,584 85% 48k $475k (exactly $474,725) 5 Bits Games
DeathSprint 66 older $19.99 495 83% 15k $297k (exactly $296,852) Sumo Digital
Espire 1: VR Operative older $19.99 381 54% 11k $228k (exactly $228,486) Digital Lode Immersive Media
TRON RUN/r older $19.99 368 78% 11k $221k (exactly $220,690) Sanzaru Games Inc.
Furry Killer older $29.99 241 78% 7.2k $217k (exactly $216,828) Sujikon
CONERU -DIMENSION GIRL- $19.99 263 96% 7.9k $158k (exactly $157,721) HIKE Inc., Eallin Japan Co.Ltd.
Retrowave 2 $4.99 449 88% 13k $67k (exactly $67,215) RewindApp
RHYTHMKILL $9.99 45 82% 1.4k $13k (exactly $13,486) GETTAKE
Synthwave Driver · EA $2.99 107 86% 3.2k $9.6k (exactly $9,598) Runebox Studios
Synthwave Dream '85 $3.99 48 100% 1.4k $5.7k (exactly $5,746) LoneDev
Echobreaker $8.99 12 100% 360 $3.2k (exactly $3,236) Upstream Arcade
Retro Drive: Revamped $11.99 3 100% 90 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) Retro Drive Studio
Synthwave Tunnel · EA $4.99 7 85% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Hard Shark Games
Rhythm Racer · EA $8.99 3 100% 90 $809 (exactly $809) Elusive Byte
Beat Dodger $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Sun Seal Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.