Do I ship it?

Games › Local Multiplayer › Local Multiplayer + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Local Multiplayer game?

Local Multiplayer + Cyberpunk

Of 20 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Local Multiplayer game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 64 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 13 developers shipped in the last year and 64 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 64 announced, ×4.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Multiplayer + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $11k → $180 → $1.6k → $958 → $3.6k → $449 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Multiplayer + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,596)
Top 5% $132k (exactly $131,650)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 86
Announced 64
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Local Multiplayer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Combat Racing
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Third Person, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 500 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $450, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 64 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Multiplayer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HockeyStrong odds11 devs · median $3.0k · 12 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair61 devs · median $5.8k · 64 announced
  3. + Action RPGFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  4. + Hex GridFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  5. + ModernFair24 devs · median $3.6k · 16 announced
  6. + WargameFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  7. + TennisFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair26 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  10. + Football (American)Fair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  11. + SportsFair196 devs · median $1.6k · 208 announced
  12. + RunnerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced

All 174 pairs on the Local Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Distance 2018 · $4.4M Frozen Synapse 2011 · $831k Combat Mission Black Sea 2021 · $759k Black Future '88 2019 · $296k Neon Chrome 2016 · $245k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Distance older $24.99 5,832 93% 175k $4.4M (exactly $4,372,250) Refract
Frozen Synapse older $24.99 1,108 89% 33k $831k (exactly $830,668) Mode 7
Combat Mission Black Sea older $59.99 422 81% 13k $759k (exactly $759,473) Battlefront
Black Future '88 older $19.99 494 74% 15k $296k (exactly $296,252) SUPERSCARYSNAKES
Neon Chrome older $14.99 545 93% 16k $245k (exactly $245,086) 10tons Ltd
It's Quiz Time older $24.99 225 74% 6.8k $169k (exactly $168,682) Snap Finger Click
Hyper Jam older $12.99 431 93% 13k $168k (exactly $167,961) Bit Dragon
XF Extreme Formula $11.99 366 90% 11k $132k (exactly $131,650) Feperd Games
Die by the Blade older $19.99 128 57% 3.8k $77k (exactly $76,762) Grindstone, Triple Hill Interactive, To… (Grindstone, Triple Hill Interactive, Toko Midori Games)
God of Rock older $29.99 54 50% 1.6k $49k (exactly $48,584) Maximum Entertainment
Anima Flux $19.99 69 78% 2.1k $41k (exactly $41,379) Avantaj Prim
Positron · EA $14.99 19 100% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Retroburn
Zone 6 $11.99 10 100% 300 $3.6k (exactly $3,597) Ullbors
Outrunner: Neon Nights $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Georg Schenzel
Hard Edge - War Zone $15.99 7 71% 210 $3.4k (exactly $3,358) SUNSOFT
Hover REV Hispeed Burst $10.99 5 60% 150 $1.6k (exactly $1,648) JKK_WORKS
Stealth Syndicate $3.99 8 100% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Vincent Lopes-Vicente
MAINCORE · EA $29.99 1 0% 30 $900 (exactly $900) Milan Prekop
Dragon Gate: Tournament $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Luftikus Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.