Do I ship it?

Games › Flight › Flight + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Flight game?

Flight + Cyberpunk

Only 19 developers shipped a Cyberpunk Flight game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ostranauts, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $1.8M, ×2996 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 43 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 43 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Flight + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $861 → $359 → $230k → $1.5k → $18k → $5.1k → $150 (still earning) → $229k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Flight + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,079)
Top 25% $8.1k (exactly $8,092)
Top 5% $1.9M (exactly $1,881,259)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 97
Announced 43
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Flight
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Flight; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Open World, Shooter
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 4,006 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $8.0k, 1 in 20 over $1.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Flight with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Choose Your Own AdventureFair9 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 10 announced
  3. + Quick-Time EventsFair9 devs · median $657 · 9 announced
  4. + CatsFair6 devs · median $629 · 10 announced
  5. + Life SimPoor odds12 devs · median $70k · 29 announced
  6. + TradingPoor odds6 devs · median $36k · 21 announced
  7. + MiningPoor odds10 devs · median $35k · 13 announced
  8. + CraftingPoor odds14 devs · median $19k · 57 announced
  9. + Base BuildingPoor odds23 devs · median $17k · 48 announced
  10. + EconomyPoor odds20 devs · median $15k · 45 announced
  11. + RTSPoor odds14 devs · median $15k · 18 announced
  12. + Cold WarPoor odds10 devs · median $11k · 16 announced

All 132 pairs on the Flight page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Bomb Rush Cyberfunk 2023 · $15M Ostranauts 2026 · $1.9M Arctic Eggs 2024 · $1.6M Rez Infinite 2017 · $874k Pacer 2020 · $691k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Bomb Rush Cyberfunk older $39.99 12,645 98% 379k $15M (exactly $15,170,206) Team Reptile
Ostranauts $19.99 3,137 77% 94k $1.9M (exactly $1,881,259) Blue Bottle Games
Arctic Eggs older $9.99 5,343 95% 160k $1.6M (exactly $1,601,297) The Water Museum, cockydoody, abmarnie,… (The Water Museum, cockydoody, abmarnie, Cameron Ginex)
Rez Infinite older $24.99 1,166 91% 35k $874k (exactly $874,150) Monstars Inc., Resonair
Pacer older $39.99 576 72% 17k $691k (exactly $691,027) R8 Games Ltd
Whisker Squadron: Survivor $19.99 485 77% 15k $291k (exactly $290,854) Flippfly LLC
Kitten Burst older $19.99 384 98% 12k $230k (exactly $230,285) Jam2go
G-Rebels · EA $29.99 254 79% 7.6k $229k (exactly $228,524) Reakktor Studios
AaaaaAAaaaAAAaaAAAAaAAAAA!!! for the Awesome older $9.99 535 81% 16k $160k (exactly $160,340) Dejobaan Games, LLC, Owlchemy Labs
Hell Division older $13.99 191 83% 5.7k $80k (exactly $80,163) Quacky Games
Cosmic Miners · EA $9.99 60 53% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,982) bitByte Games
Project Hover · EA $9.99 27 88% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Ulysses Graphics
The Phoenix Gene VR $24.99 10 100% 300 $7.5k (exactly $7,497) HEROmation
Astro Flame: Starfighter $9.99 17 76% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Satur Entertainment
Amazoom Blimp Jockey '69 · EA $9.99 5 80% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Lofty Games
Plane Crazy Championship Edition $5.99 8 100% 240 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Inner Workings, Jordan Freeman Group, S… (Inner Workings, Jordan Freeman Group, SegaSoft)
Alastrius: Star-Fighter $11.99 3 100% 90 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) Caledonia Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.