Do I ship it?

GamesDynamic NarrationDynamic Narration + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Dynamic Narration game?

Dynamic Narration + Cyberpunk

Only 14 developers shipped a Cyberpunk Dynamic Narration game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Assault Armored Girls War Vasileia, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $6.2k, ×10 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 27 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 27 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dynamic Narration + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.2k → $1.6k → $3.9k (still earning) → $30 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Dynamic Narration + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,967)
Top 5% $6.3k (exactly $6,294)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 39
Announced 27
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dynamic Narration
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Dynamic Narration
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 90 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $6.2k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dynamic Narration with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsStrong odds17 devs · median $4.2k · 9 announced
  2. + IncrementalFair19 devs · median $4.0k · 14 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  4. + ModernFair15 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced
  5. + TacticalFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  6. + LGBTQ+Poor odds12 devs · median $8.2k · 22 announced
  7. + RoguelikePoor odds11 devs · median $7.8k · 35 announced
  8. + RoguelitePoor odds10 devs · median $7.8k · 42 announced
  9. + Word GamePoor odds10 devs · median $5.2k · 17 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $4.4k · 40 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds31 devs · median $4.2k · 50 announced
  12. + ManagementPoor odds21 devs · median $3.6k · 56 announced

All 84 pairs on the Dynamic Narration page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Detroit: Become Human older $39.99 226,411 96% 6.8M $272M (exactly $271,625,277) Quantic Dream
Observer: System Redux older $29.99 2,462 84% 74k $2.2M (exactly $2,215,061) Bloober Team, Anshar Studios
Tesla Effect: A Tex Murphy Adventure older $19.99 628 90% 19k $377k (exactly $376,612) Big Finish Games
Athanasy older $9.99 486 97% 15k $146k (exactly $145,654) Wirion
The Indigo Parallel older $12.99 262 96% 7.9k $102k (exactly $102,101) Chris Danelon
The Secret of Retropolis older $9.99 162 92% 4.9k $49k (exactly $48,551) Peanut Button
A.D. 2047 older $19.99 79 62% 2.4k $47k (exactly $47,376) Leenzee Games
Cyberlinxxx older $12.99 20 75% 600 $7.8k (exactly $7,794) Baka_energy_studios
Grapple League older $9.99 24 95% 720 $7.2k (exactly $7,193) Rain Check Studios
Assault Armored Girls War Vasileia $9.99 21 71% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) studio core
RolemIAster · EA $5.99 23 56% 690 $4.1k (exactly $4,133) ABAFE
Octopus Goulash $12.99 10 70% 300 $3.9k (exactly $3,897) Alessio Serenellini
Blêktre 2081 $8.99 11 100% 330 $3.0k (exactly $2,967) Charles Torris
Hate-Gem Rise Of Demon · EA $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) ElLeonGamer
DuaLight $6.99 7 100% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) RedWineGames Studio
Null State $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Triple Eye Games
Talk to Me Human $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Least Significant Bit
Signal Drift $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Alcove Research LLC
QUICKN $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) g_sholar

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.