Should I ship a Space CRPG?
CRPG + Space
Only 11 developers shipped a Space CRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Stellar Tactics, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $22k, ×15 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $1.2M, ×834 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 23 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $416 (exactly $416) |
|---|---|
| Median | $22k (exactly $22,485) |
| Top 25% | $280k (exactly $279,638) |
| Top 5% | $1.2M (exactly $1,249,000) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 23 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $12.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 350% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- CRPG
- Price point
- $12.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 3,668 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $420. 23 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
CRPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + TabletopFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + IncrementalLong shot
- + FMVPoor odds
- + Card BattlerPoor odds
- + Grid-Based MovementPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Souls-likePoor odds
- + DeckbuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader 2023 · $51M 
Colony Ship: A Post-Earth Role Playing Game 2023 · $4.9M 
Stellar Tactics 2026 · $1.2M 
Mega Man Star Force Legacy Collection 2026 · $788k 
Lightracer Spark 2023 · $378k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader | older | $49.99 | 33,701 87% | 1.0M | $51M (exactly $50,541,390) | Owlcat Games |
| | Colony Ship: A Post-Earth Role Playing Game | older | $39.99 | 4,087 87% | 123k | $4.9M (exactly $4,903,174) | Iron Tower Studio |
| | Stellar Tactics | $24.99 | 1,666 77% | 50k | $1.2M (exactly $1,249,000) | Don Wilkins | |
| | Mega Man Star Force Legacy Collection | $39.99 | 657 96% | 20k | $788k (exactly $788,203) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd. | |
| | Lightracer Spark | older | $12.99 | 970 83% | 29k | $378k (exactly $378,009) | Smartmelon Games |
 | Sector Unknown | $24.99 | 373 80% | 11k | $280k (exactly $279,638) | Creative Storm Entertainment | |
 | 我的恋爱逃生攻略 Love to Live | $9.99 | 864 85% | 26k | $259k (exactly $258,941) | 番茄炖肉制作组 | |
 | Titan Outpost | older | $19.99 | 96 79% | 2.9k | $58k (exactly $57,571) | The Boar Studio |
 | TAXINAUT | $19.99 | 39 87% | 1.2k | $23k (exactly $23,388) | mosgrom | |
 | Songs of Rats | $14.99 | 50 78% | 1.5k | $22k (exactly $22,485) | Tesseract Games | |
 | Grist | · EA | $12.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $1.2k (exactly $1,169) | Chironex Studios |
 | Halley Mission: 2061 | $0.99 | 14 64% | 420 | $416 (exactly $416) | PcZ Games | |
 | Operation Terra | · EA | $10.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $330 (exactly $330) | Yotta Yobi, Diamond Tao |
 | A Spaceship Accident | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Pick Your Universe |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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