Do I ship it?

GamesFPSFPS + Creature Collector

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Creature Collector FPS?

FPS + Creature Collector

Only 13 developers shipped a Creature Collector FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Slime Rancher 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×0.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $39M, ×26180 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 19 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 19 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Creature Collector
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.4k → $779 → $3.3k → $2.9k → $1.3k
Outcomes for FPS + Creature Collector: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,258)
Top 25% $3.3k (exactly $3,293)
Top 5% $39M (exactly $39,217,923)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 47
Announced 19
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Creature Collector; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Open World, Action
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 44,577 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $39M.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Slime Rancher 2 $29.99 43,590 94% 1.3M $39M (exactly $39,217,923) Monomi Park
Yarimono older $24.99 4,011 86% 120k $3.0M (exactly $3,007,047) にゅう工房
Island Notes $12.99 884 82% 27k $344k (exactly $344,495) KangBaoGame
Zanzarah: The Hidden Portal older $7.99 984 73% 30k $236k (exactly $235,865) Funatics Software
Karagon (Survival Robot Riding FPS) older $19.99 99 44% 3.0k $59k (exactly $59,370) Tbjbu2 Originals
Russian Hunter older $24.99 41 39% 1.2k $31k (exactly $30,738) Piece Of Voxel
仙道孤旅 · EA older $8.99 53 84% 1.6k $14k (exactly $14,294) 仙道
DOLLMAKER $8.99 45 97% 1.4k $12k (exactly $12,136) STH
Wrath of the Goliaths: Dinosaurs · EA older $9.99 17 17% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Ascendence Studios
Heart attack older $0.99 114 68% 3.4k $3.4k (exactly $3,386) LilMemes Production
Venator Universe · EA $4.99 22 63% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) Fullset Gaming
Camelbirds $5.99 16 81% 480 $2.9k (exactly $2,875) 5Centov
Shadow of the Night $12.99 6 50% 180 $2.3k (exactly $2,338) Uğur ÇELİK
Snapshot Aquarium · EA $5.99 7 100% 210 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) Octoponx
Ultra Fishing $12.99 2 50% 60 $779 (exactly $779) Uğur ÇELİK
Shuttered $3.99 4 75% 120 $479 (exactly $479) Evilkookey Games
GLITCHED MATRIX Prototype Lab $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) GLITCHED MATRIX

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.