Do I ship it?

GamesCookingCooking + LGBTQ+

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an LGBTQ+ Cooking game?

Cooking + LGBTQ+

Only 16 developers shipped an LGBTQ+ Cooking game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Fields of Mistria, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $30k, ×62 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $13M, ×28202 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 32 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 62.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 32 announced, ×4.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Cooking + LGBTQ+
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $210k → $4.8k → $42k → $10k → $98k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Cooking + LGBTQ+: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $1.3k (exactly $1,317)
Median $30k (exactly $29,680)
Top 25% $260k (exactly $259,540)
Top 5% $13M (exactly $13,395,985)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 49
Announced 32
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $13.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Cooking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
LGBTQ+
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Cooking; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Crafting, Life Sim, Simulation
Price point
$13.99 typical · top 25% priced $34.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $13.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 37,329 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.4k, median $30k, 1 in 4 over $250k, 1 in 20 over $13M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 5 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Cooking with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair54 devs · median $14k · 68 announced
  2. + DogsFair12 devs · median $8.1k · 12 announced
  3. + Turn-Based CombatFair15 devs · median $6.0k · 22 announced
  4. + Point & ClickFair68 devs · median $1.8k · 79 announced
  5. + LogicFair27 devs · median $1.6k · 26 announced
  6. + Score AttackFair28 devs · median $1.4k · 30 announced
  7. + Hidden ObjectFair25 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  8. + PuzzleFair77 devs · median $958 · 92 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligencePoor odds15 devs · median $73k · 10 announced
  10. + JRPGPoor odds13 devs · median $34k · 25 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds12 devs · median $26k · 23 announced
  12. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds19 devs · median $24k · 29 announced

All 95 pairs on the Cooking page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fields of Mistria $13.99 31,918 96% 958k $13M (exactly $13,395,985) NPC Studio
Tales of the Shire: A The Lord of The Rings™ Game $34.99 3,237 81% 97k $3.4M (exactly $3,397,879) Wētā Workshop
Fae Farm older $29.99 2,741 78% 82k $2.5M (exactly $2,466,078) Phoenix Labs
Witchy Life Story older $19.99 965 80% 29k $579k (exactly $578,710) Sundew Studios
Moonglow Bay older $24.99 679 66% 20k $509k (exactly $509,046) Bunnyhug
Cook Serve Forever $29.99 333 69% 10k $300k (exactly $299,600) Vertigo Gaming Inc.
GIRLS MADE PUDDING $9.99 866 95% 26k $260k (exactly $259,540) Kazuhide Oka
Thirsty Suitors older $29.99 233 96% 7.0k $210k (exactly $209,630) Outerloop Games
Lighthouse Keeper older $11.99 336 81% 10k $121k (exactly $120,859) Stratera Games
Coffee & Boobs $7.99 463 74% 14k $111k (exactly $110,981) TopHouse Studio
High Times $19.99 163 90% 4.9k $98k (exactly $97,751) Yangyang Mobile
Anime City · EA $14.99 201 72% 6.0k $90k (exactly $90,390) Shoujo City Developer
Tavern Talk 2: Dreamwalker $14.99 66 89% 2.0k $30k (exactly $29,680) Gentle Troll Entertainment
Magical Bakery $14.99 57 77% 1.7k $26k (exactly $25,633) SUPERLUMEN
Love at The Milky Way Diner · EA $13.99 25 100% 750 $10k (exactly $10,492) Lucky Kim, Emanuelle Heikens

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.