Do I ship it?

GamesJob SimulatorJob Simulator + Cooking

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cooking Job Simulator?

Job Simulator + Cooking

Of 54 developers who shipped a Cooking Job Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 68 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $14k, ×30 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $4.0k. Revenue is flat on the market; 68 games are announced against 42 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 29.5 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 68 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Job Simulator + Cooking
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 54
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.0M → $504k → $883k → $37k → $12k → $8.6k (still earning) → $13k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Job Simulator + Cooking: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 54
Bottom 30% $4.0k (exactly $3,953)
Median $14k (exactly $14,032)
Top 25% $63k (exactly $62,842)
Top 5% $759k (exactly $759,136)
Developers, 2 yr 54
Released games 75
Announced 68
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 225% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Job Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Cooking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Job Simulator, Cooking; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Strategy
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Cozy, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 19,473 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $4.0k, median $14k, 1 in 4 over $62k, 1 in 20 over $750k.

3 in 10 developers made under $4.0k. 5 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 68 games are announced against 42 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Job Simulator with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationStrong odds36 devs · median $57k · 31 announced
  2. + NatureStrong odds21 devs · median $38k · 19 announced
  3. + CollectathonStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  4. + BuildingStrong odds66 devs · median $28k · 70 announced
  5. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds18 devs · median $23k · 6 announced
  6. + Inventory ManagementStrong odds69 devs · median $15k · 62 announced
  7. + CraftingStrong odds62 devs · median $15k · 65 announced
  8. + Shop KeeperStrong odds101 devs · median $13k · 122 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectStrong odds17 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair72 devs · median $23k · 75 announced
  11. + EconomyFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  12. + Immersive SimFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced

All 42 pairs on the Job Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fast Food Simulator · EA $14.99 8,653 86% 260k $3.9M (exactly $3,891,254) No Ceiling Games
Feed the Cups · EA older $15.99 4,708 72% 141k $2.3M (exactly $2,258,428) Vambear Games
Papa's Freezeria Deluxe older $5.99 12,275 99% 368k $2.2M (exactly $2,205,818) Flipline Studios
Chef Life: A Restaurant Simulator older $29.99 2,222 83% 67k $2.0M (exactly $1,999,133) Cyanide Studio
Good Pizza, Great Pizza - Cooking Simulator Game older $9.99 6,261 87% 188k $1.9M (exactly $1,876,422) TapBlaze
Tavern Manager Simulator 🍻 older $14.99 4,018 91% 121k $1.8M (exactly $1,806,895) One More Time
Galaxy Burger older $11.99 2,456 96% 74k $883k (exactly $883,423) Galactic Workshop
KuloNiku: Bowl Up! $11.99 2,295 96% 69k $826k (exactly $825,512) Gambir Studio
The Chef's Shift $12.99 1,948 97% 58k $759k (exactly $759,136) Panitia GameDev
Papa's Pizzeria Deluxe $5.99 3,450 98% 104k $620k (exactly $619,965) Flipline Studios
Inn Tycoon $11.99 727 76% 22k $262k (exactly $261,502) Evil Goose Games
Arctic Motel Simulator $17.99 465 88% 14k $251k (exactly $250,960) One Slice of Pizza Games
Kinny and the Cosmic Cauldron $12.99 563 85% 17k $219k (exactly $219,401) Kinnymoms
Bento Blocks $14.99 367 97% 11k $165k (exactly $165,040) SOMETIMES LIMITED
Pizza House Simulator🍕 $12.99 411 87% 12k $160k (exactly $160,167) Broken Lyre Entertainment, Wendigo Games
Tostchu $7.99 594 84% 18k $142k (exactly $142,382) Ravenscape Collective

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.