Games › Turn-Based Tactics › Turn-Based Tactics + Conspiracy
Should I ship a Conspiracy Turn-Based Tactics?
Turn-Based Tactics + Conspiracy
Only 15 developers shipped a Conspiracy Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Hundred Line -Last Defense Academy-, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $12M, ×19754 the market median. Revenue is up 360% on the market; 27 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $719 (exactly $719) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
| Top 25% | $185k (exactly $184,708) |
| Top 5% | $12M (exactly $12,405,332) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 35 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 360% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Turn-Based Tactics
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Conspiracy
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Turn-Based Tactics
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 12,694 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $720. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Turn-Based Tactics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + TanksFair
- + AutomationFair
- + ProgrammingFair
- + DiceFair
- + MiningFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + PlatformerLong shot
Comparable games
The Hundred Line -Last Defense Academy- 2025 · $12M 
Trails in the Sky 1st Chapter 2025 · $8.4M 
Chains of Freedom 2025 · $390k 
Prime Monster 2026 · $185k 
Rina's Undercover Train Operation 2026 · $120k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Hundred Line -Last Defense Academy- | $59.99 | 6,893 88% | 207k | $12M (exactly $12,405,332) | Too Kyo Games, Media.Vision Inc. | |
| | Trails in the Sky 1st Chapter | $59.99 | 4,650 95% | 140k | $8.4M (exactly $8,368,605) | Nihon Falcom | |
| | Chains of Freedom | $24.99 | 520 80% | 16k | $390k (exactly $389,844) | Nordcurrent | |
| | Prime Monster | $19.99 | 308 83% | 9.2k | $185k (exactly $184,708) | Cavalier Game Studios | |
| | Rina's Undercover Train Operation | $13.99 | 286 70% | 8.6k | $120k (exactly $120,034) | Metamorphose | |
 | The Protagonist: EX-1 | older | $13.99 | 21 47% | 630 | $8.8k (exactly $8,814) | 3Mind Games |
 | Vesper: Ether Saga - Episode 1 | older | $17.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $4.3k (exactly $4,318) | Sylvain Harlaut, Jeremy |
 | 蚀界档案 | $9.99 | 10 80% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | 深圳市创源互娱科技有限公司 | |
 | Electioneering | · EA older | $14.99 | 6 33% | 180 | $2.7k (exactly $2,698) | Cosmo's Tuxedo |
 | Senatus | $4.99 | 16 81% | 480 | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) | Slashware Interactive, Megalevel | |
 | Makoku - The Seductive Twilight Squadron | $19.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | INTERHEART, ぷちDEVIL | |
 | Voyna | $12.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $1.2k (exactly $1,169) | HellYeah! | |
 | Tanks of Freedom II | $5.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.1k (exactly $1,078) | P1X |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.