Do I ship it?

GamesTime ManagementTime Management + Conspiracy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Conspiracy Time Management game?

Time Management + Conspiracy

Only 18 developers shipped a Conspiracy Time Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rina's Undercover Train Operation, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $120k, ×253 the market median. Revenue is up 115% on the market; 42 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 115% on the market, 42 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Time Management + Conspiracy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $12k → $2.5k → $599 → $2.7k → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Time Management + Conspiracy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $5.5k (exactly $5,513)
Top 5% $120k (exactly $120,034)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 47
Announced 42
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 115% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Conspiracy
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Time Management; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Multiple Endings, Simulation, Point & Click
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 1980s, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 491 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $600, 1 in 4 over $5.5k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Time Management with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dungeon CrawlerFair35 devs · median $7.0k · 44 announced
  2. + ProgrammingFair15 devs · median $7.0k · 26 announced
  3. + Inventory ManagementFair181 devs · median $2.9k · 228 announced
  4. + AgricultureFair57 devs · median $2.3k · 73 announced
  5. + Time TravelFair17 devs · median $2.2k · 19 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair27 devs · median $2.1k · 29 announced
  7. + LootFair34 devs · median $1.5k · 47 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  9. + AutomationFair162 devs · median $1.2k · 191 announced
  10. + Bullet HellFair11 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  11. + ThrillerFair42 devs · median $1.1k · 65 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligenceFair53 devs · median $1.0k · 65 announced

All 179 pairs on the Time Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Happy's Humble Burger Farm older $19.99 1,704 93% 51k $1.0M (exactly $1,021,889) Scythe Dev Team
Rina's Undercover Train Operation $13.99 286 70% 8.6k $120k (exactly $120,034) Metamorphose
The Matriarch older $4.99 724 75% 22k $108k (exactly $108,383) Chewa
Undead Inc. older $19.99 158 27% 4.7k $95k (exactly $94,753) Rightsized Games
Orten Was The Case older $14.99 125 94% 3.8k $56k (exactly $56,212) Woodhill Interactive
Hero Roy's Wedding older $6.99 230 74% 6.9k $48k (exactly $48,231) SwordRP5
Decide 4 God $29.99 49 93% 1.5k $44k (exactly $44,085) Miracle Moon
Rough Justice: '84 older $19.99 67 64% 2.0k $40k (exactly $40,180) Gamma Minus
These Darker Tides $7.99 76 90% 2.3k $18k (exactly $18,217) Pixel Drip Games
The State of Nowhere $19.99 26 88% 780 $16k (exactly $15,592) Anomaly Works
Hate You $7.99 23 95% 690 $5.5k (exactly $5,513) PALINI
Rescue Team: Lights. Camera. Outer Space $6.99 13 76% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Game Mixer
Rescue Team: Phantom Crisis $6.99 4 75% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Game Mixer
Your Price, Your Honor. $2.99 8 62% 240 $718 (exactly $718) Red Comb Studios
GET 0UT $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) ICE9 Games
100% Plasma Vitae $4.99 4 75% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Plasma Team

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.