Do I ship it?

GamesPuzzle PlatformerPuzzle Platformer + Conspiracy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Conspiracy Puzzle Platformer?

Puzzle Platformer + Conspiracy

Only 8 developers shipped a Conspiracy Puzzle Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Antro, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×6.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $480 against a market of $480. 27 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 27 announced, ×6.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Puzzle Platformer + Conspiracy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Puzzle Platformer + Conspiracy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $2.3k (exactly $2,336)
Top 5% $19k (exactly $18,887)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 36
Announced 27
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Conspiracy
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Puzzle Platformer
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.90.

The top 10 games average 70% positive over 1,516 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $480, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $18k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Puzzle Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceFair41 devs · median $1.5k · 38 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair20 devs · median $1.1k · 26 announced
  3. + Life SimFair20 devs · median $657 · 21 announced
  4. + SimulationFair216 devs · median $479 · 181 announced
  5. + Grid-Based MovementFair62 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  6. + SokobanFair51 devs · median $358 · 49 announced
  7. + LovecraftianPoor odds11 devs · median $9.3k · 22 announced
  8. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds26 devs · median $9.0k · 53 announced
  9. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds91 devs · median $5.3k · 264 announced
  10. + SwordplayPoor odds8 devs · median $4.2k · 19 announced
  11. + Split ScreenPoor odds24 devs · median $3.6k · 35 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.0k · 80 announced

All 169 pairs on the Puzzle Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Oddworld: Soulstorm Enhanced Edition older $39.99 504 65% 15k $605k (exactly $604,649) Oddworld Inhabitants
LIBERATED older $19.99 679 77% 20k $407k (exactly $407,196) Atomic Wolf, L.INC
Nancy Drew®: The Shattered Medallion older $19.99 116 51% 3.5k $70k (exactly $69,565) HeR Interactive
SenS · EA older $17.99 48 77% 1.4k $26k (exactly $25,906) Limasse Five
Antro $14.99 42 92% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) Gatera Studio
Mozart Requiem older $29.99 16 43% 480 $14k (exactly $14,395) Hoplite Research LLC
Nathan Morgan: Dilemma older $9.90 34 50% 1.0k $10k (exactly $10,098) 98 INTERACTIVE
ColorBlend FX: Desaturation older $15.99 21 90% 630 $10k (exactly $10,074) Pi-Dev Bulgaria
VEREDA - Mystery Escape Room Adventure older $7.99 42 64% 1.3k $10k (exactly $10,067) M9 Games
MMY: Otherworld Mystery older $9.99 14 92% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Dnovel
The Immemorial Order II Sisters of Darkness $5.99 13 76% 390 $2.3k (exactly $2,336) Dan Gibson
THE BREAKFIVE $6.99 10 60% 300 $2.1k (exactly $2,097) Nanjing Baiku Network Technology Co., L… (Nanjing Baiku Network Technology Co., Ltd)
Rusty Flesh $7.99 2 100% 60 $479 (exactly $479) Wasteland Games
Ascension: The Immortal Alchemist · EA $11.99 1 100% 30 $360 (exactly $360) Violet Flame Studios
The Visitor Effect: Not an experiment $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Mystic Morgue
Project Hash $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) 67ormsg272
One Rainy Night $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Werner Viljoen

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.