Do I ship it?

Games › FPS › FPS + Combat Racing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Combat Racing FPS?

FPS + Combat Racing

Only 12 developers shipped a Combat Racing FPS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, CyberTaxi: Lunatic Nights, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.2k against a market of $1.5k. 19 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 19 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
FPS + Combat Racing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $5.5k → $719 → $2.7k
Outcomes for FPS + Combat Racing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $2.9k (exactly $2,875)
Top 5% $29k (exactly $28,540)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 55
Announced 19
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

FPS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Combat Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle physics plus weapons and AI drivers

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
FPS, Combat Racing
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 66% positive over 148 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $2.8k, 1 in 20 over $28k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

FPS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Fair28 devs · median $32k · 22 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  3. + IdlerFair22 devs · median $4.2k · 23 announced
  4. + GamblingFair24 devs · median $4.1k · 22 announced
  5. + FaithFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 12 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  7. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $1.4k · 12 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair172 devs · median $1.2k · 190 announced
  9. + RunnerLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  10. + Action RTSLong shot16 devs · median $899 · 21 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot130 devs · median $629 · 145 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot6 devs · median $594 · 7 announced

All 216 pairs on the FPS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Crash Time 2 2009 · $175k Just Ride：Apparent Horizon 狂飙：极限视界 2019 · $82k Touring Karts 2019 · $67k CyberTaxi 2020 · $53k BLOCKPOST MOBILE 2024 · EA · $38k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Crash Time 2 older $4.99 1,170 63% 35k $175k (exactly $175,149) ·
Just Ride：Apparent Horizon 狂飙：极限视界 older $19.99 137 68% 4.1k $82k (exactly $82,159) Horus Games
Touring Karts older $19.99 111 77% 3.3k $67k (exactly $66,567) Ivanovich Games
CyberTaxi older $9.99 178 64% 5.3k $53k (exactly $53,347) Projects from Basement
BLOCKPOST MOBILE · EA older $4.99 254 61% 7.6k $38k (exactly $38,024) Skullcap Studios
Zombieland VR: Headshot Fever older $19.99 62 83% 1.9k $37k (exactly $37,181) XR Games
CyberTaxi: Lunatic Nights · EA $13.99 68 55% 2.0k $29k (exactly $28,540) Hed Media Games
J15 Jet Fighter VR (歼15舰载机) · EA older $9.99 44 47% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Magicvalley Studio
Aster Fpv Drone Simulator older $19.99 13 69% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Emmanuel Perrillon
Cybershock: Future Parkour older $2.99 81 92% 2.4k $7.3k (exactly $7,266) Javier Federico Goldschmidt, Matias Juv… (Javier Federico Goldschmidt, Matias Juvé, Tomas Peters)
LivingForest $15.99 8 62% 240 $3.8k (exactly $3,838) LivingEveryday
Camelbirds $5.99 16 81% 480 $2.9k (exactly $2,875) 5Centov
Drones of War: FPV Drone Simulator · EA $3.49 26 61% 780 $2.7k (exactly $2,722) Loren
Conviction $3.99 17 100% 510 $2.0k (exactly $2,035) J-Bradford
FPV PVP · EA $19.99 2 50% 60 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) EverLifeLab
SUPER MARKET $5.99 4 75% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Spectacularly Obsolete Logic Operations… (Spectacularly Obsolete Logic Operations: Glitchy Applications Marvelously Executed Shoddily)
BattleTanks - Animal Wars $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Kasur Games
Car Crash Chaos $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Berk Kalfa
Twisted Jam $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Ethan Medjuck

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.