Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Walking Simulator

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Walking Simulator?

Collectathon + Walking Simulator

Of 122 developers who shipped a Collectathon Walking Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 120 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $240. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 120 games are announced against 73 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 120 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Walking Simulator
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 122
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.9k → $1.2k → $3.2k → $1.2k → $1.3k → $987 → $314 (still earning) → $898 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Walking Simulator: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 122
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $4.6k (exactly $4,613)
Top 5% $60k (exactly $59,710)
Developers, 2 yr 122
Released games 342
Announced 120
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.49

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon, Walking Simulator; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Adventure, Simulation
Price point
$3.49 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $3.49.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 6,618 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $900, 1 in 4 over $4.6k, 1 in 20 over $59k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 78 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 120 games are announced against 73 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lunch Lady older $4.99 9,722 86% 292k $1.5M (exactly $1,455,383) Manic Mice
Broken Reality older $14.99 2,152 92% 65k $968k (exactly $967,754) Dynamic Media Triad
Tiny Terry's Turbo Trip older $17.99 1,450 95% 44k $783k (exactly $782,565) snekflat
Submerged: Hidden Depths older $29.99 741 89% 22k $667k (exactly $666,678) Uppercut Games Pty Ltd
Supermarket Chaos $4.99 3,266 92% 98k $489k (exactly $488,920) BunnyHop
Adorable Adventures $19.99 698 93% 21k $419k (exactly $418,591) Wild Sheep Studio
Maid Cafe on Electric Street $18.99 595 82% 18k $339k (exactly $338,972) Adventurer's Tavern
Enter The Backrooms older $9.99 986 87% 30k $296k (exactly $295,504) Justin Kroh
Pupperazzi: The Dog Photography Game older $19.99 443 94% 13k $266k (exactly $265,667) Sundae Month
Maize older $9.99 793 88% 24k $238k (exactly $237,662) Finish Line Games
Disillusion ST $10.99 524 96% 16k $173k (exactly $172,763) Disillusion Dev, Disillusion Dev
Broken Reality 2000 $14.99 371 76% 11k $167k (exactly $166,839) Dynamic Media Triad
Hachishaku $9.99 456 85% 14k $137k (exactly $136,663) Trash Panda Games
Cumrooms $11.99 166 86% 5.0k $60k (exactly $59,710) Moon Loom Studio
Tidy Up Together $5.99 221 80% 6.6k $40k (exactly $39,714) Malum Games
Dark Succubus $6.99 171 77% 5.1k $36k (exactly $35,859) ZC Game
Konbini Cleanup $5.99 150 94% 4.5k $27k (exactly $26,955) Cleanup Crew!

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.