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Should I ship a Collectathon Turn-Based Combat game?
Collectathon + Turn-Based Combat
Of 33 developers who shipped a Collectathon Turn-Based Combat game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 68 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $960, ×2.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×278 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 68 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $449 (exactly $449) |
|---|---|
| Median | $959 (exactly $959) |
| Top 25% | $11k (exactly $10,550) |
| Top 5% | $132k (exactly $131,967) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 33 |
| Released games | 109 |
| Announced | 68 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Collectathon
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Turn-Based Combat
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Collectathon, Turn-Based Combat; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Crafting, JRPG
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Cute, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 16,929 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 68 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorStrong odds
- + CapitalismStrong odds
- + Turn-BasedFair
- + EconomyFair
- + ManagementFair
- + CrimeFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + SokobanFair
- + MythologyFair
- + UnderwaterFair
- + Combat RacingFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Temtem | older | $44.99 | 31,263 82% | 938k | $42M (exactly $42,195,671) | Crema |
| | Digimon Story Time Stranger | $69.99 | 15,845 89% | 475k | $33M (exactly $33,269,746) | Media.Vision Inc. | |
| | Cassette Beasts | older | $19.99 | 8,976 94% | 269k | $5.4M (exactly $5,382,907) | Bytten Studio |
| | Atelier Sophie 2: The Alchemist of the Mysterious Dream | older | $59.99 | 2,166 94% | 65k | $3.9M (exactly $3,898,150) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | Coromon | older | $19.99 | 6,327 85% | 190k | $3.8M (exactly $3,794,302) | TRAGsoft |
| | DRAGON QUEST MONSTERS: The Dark Prince | older | $39.99 | 1,158 71% | 35k | $1.4M (exactly $1,389,253) | Square Enix |
| | Siralim Ultimate | older | $19.99 | 2,145 92% | 64k | $1.3M (exactly $1,286,356) | Thylacine Studios |
| | Atelier Sophie: The Alchemist of the Mysterious Book DX | older | $39.99 | 972 89% | 29k | $1.2M (exactly $1,166,108) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | Crystal Project | older | $13.99 | 2,510 91% | 75k | $1.1M (exactly $1,053,447) | Andrew Willman |
| | Atelier Lulua ~The Scion of Arland~ | older | $59.99 | 528 88% | 16k | $950k (exactly $950,242) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | Atelier Ryza: Ever Darkness & the Secret Hideout DX | $39.99 | 257 76% | 7.7k | $308k (exactly $308,323) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. | |
| | Atelier Ryza 2: Lost Legends & the Secret Fairy DX | $39.99 | 110 85% | 3.3k | $132k (exactly $131,967) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. | |
| | Atelier Ryza 3: Alchemist of the End & the Secret Key DX | $39.99 | 102 80% | 3.1k | $122k (exactly $122,369) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. | |
| | Seeds of Calamity | $14.99 | 271 78% | 8.1k | $122k (exactly $121,869) | Laborious Lark Studios | |
| | Tomomon | $14.99 | 126 70% | 3.8k | $57k (exactly $56,662) | ManicBuild Studio | |
| | Chronomon | · EA | $9.99 | 79 83% | 2.4k | $24k (exactly $23,676) | Stone Golem Studios |
| | Alchemy Quest | $11.99 | 56 83% | 1.7k | $20k (exactly $20,143) | Ellabelle | |
| | Guildamation | $14.99 | 36 75% | 1.1k | $16k (exactly $16,189) | Hammerback Games | |
| | 戦国英雄譚-Samurai Heroes- | $9.99 | 47 89% | 1.4k | $14k (exactly $14,086) | hizaniya games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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