Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Time Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Time Management game?

Collectathon + Time Management

Of 71 developers who shipped a Collectathon Time Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 92 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 39 developers shipped in the last year and 92 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 92 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Time Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 71
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $832 → $7.2k → $299 → $1.5k → $1.7k → $5.1k → $240 (still earning) → $475 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Time Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 71
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $6.3k (exactly $6,294)
Top 5% $302k (exactly $302,129)
Developers, 2 yr 71
Released games 140
Announced 92
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon, Time Management; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Farming Sim, Incremental
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 10,990 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $480, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $300k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 39 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 92 games are announced against 39 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tiny Bookshop $19.99 6,967 96% 209k $4.2M (exactly $4,178,110) neoludic games
Atelier Rorona ~The Alchemist of Arland~ DX older $39.99 727 91% 22k $872k (exactly $872,182) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Welcome to Elderfield $17.99 1,334 87% 40k $720k (exactly $719,960) Chris Cote
Astronomics · EA $19.99 706 89% 21k $423k (exactly $423,388) Numizmatic
Cinnabunny $24.99 403 96% 12k $302k (exactly $302,129) Reky Studios
Love Tavern older $11.99 778 73% 23k $280k (exactly $279,847) Secret Labo
Old School older $14.99 442 83% 13k $199k (exactly $198,767) MDickie
Kardboard Kings: Card Shop Simulator older $19.99 325 73% 9.8k $195k (exactly $194,902) Henry's House, Oscar Brittain, Rob Gross
Lifeslide older $9.99 376 91% 11k $113k (exactly $112,687) Dreamteck
Joyquarium $5.99 475 90% 14k $85k (exactly $85,358) Easyfun Studio
Jeffrey Eggstein · EA $4.99 290 94% 8.7k $43k (exactly $43,413) Grabba Guild Games LLC
Checkout: Cashier Simulator $6.99 188 94% 5.6k $39k (exactly $39,424) Nessie Games
Desktop Kitten Girl $3.99 277 86% 8.3k $33k (exactly $33,157) KDream
TerraForge $8.99 113 78% 3.4k $30k (exactly $30,476) OverjoyedGameDevs
Cowgirl's Café $3.99 237 78% 7.1k $28k (exactly $28,369) NyakuGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.