Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Tabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Tabletop game?

Collectathon + Tabletop

Of 27 developers who shipped a Collectathon Tabletop game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.8 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $450k, ×955 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 26 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 26 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.3k → $1.3k → $1.6k → $1.1k → $959 → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $838 (exactly $838)
Top 25% $8.6k (exactly $8,633)
Top 5% $454k (exactly $453,742)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 79
Announced 26
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon, Tabletop; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Idler, Economy
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 2D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 4,596 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $840, 1 in 4 over $8.6k, 1 in 20 over $450k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 8 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Card Shop Simulator Multiplayer $11.99 1,609 82% 48k $579k (exactly $578,757) ShaneGame
Fish to Dish: Idle Sushi $5.99 2,525 96% 76k $454k (exactly $453,742) Kygua Tech
Tokaido older $11.99 147 68% 4.4k $53k (exactly $52,876) Funforge
Sunshine Shuffle older $9.99 156 76% 4.7k $47k (exactly $46,753) Strange Scaffold
Lower? Higher! $9.99 146 67% 4.4k $44k (exactly $43,756) Unplugged Studio
Table Battle Simulator · EA $12.99 85 74% 2.6k $33k (exactly $33,124) Kiki Games
Takoyaki Party Survival older $2.99 222 94% 6.7k $20k (exactly $19,913) KIMIDORI SOFT
Hamster on Rails older $14.99 44 95% 1.3k $20k (exactly $19,787) Virtual Arts Studio
SEARCH ALL - ADULT older $9.99 49 67% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,685) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
AFKandia - Epoch of Idle $5.99 66 45% 2.0k $12k (exactly $11,860) Yang++ Game Studio
Knock on Fate:The Guardian Pusher $5.99 58 87% 1.7k $10k (exactly $10,423) 刚正面的红领巾
Mighty Marbles $11.99 24 91% 720 $8.6k (exactly $8,633) James Oliver
Poly Bricks $4.99 49 73% 1.5k $7.3k (exactly $7,335) Dry Cactus
Yakiniku Party Survival $2.99 27 92% 810 $2.4k (exactly $2,422) KIMIDORI SOFT
Haulin' Oats $9.99 7 100% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) Gramps Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.