Do I ship it?

GamesSurvival HorrorSurvival Horror + Collectathon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Survival Horror?

Survival Horror + Collectathon

Of 39 developers who shipped a Collectathon Survival Horror in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×218 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 45 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 45 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival Horror + Collectathon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 39
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.9k → $1.0k → $3.2k → $120 → $1.4k → $300 → $300 (still earning) → $1.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival Horror + Collectathon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 39
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $718 (exactly $718)
Top 25% $3.9k (exactly $3,896)
Top 5% $137k (exactly $136,663)
Developers, 2 yr 39
Released games 113
Announced 45
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival Horror, Collectathon; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Walking Simulator
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 2,038 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $720, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 32 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival Horror with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair13 devs · median $31k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + SnowFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  6. + SportsFair5 devs · median $959 · 3 announced
  7. + Outbreak SimFair22 devs · median $958 · 24 announced
  8. + 3D PlatformerFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds10 devs · median $64k · 42 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds17 devs · median $52k · 21 announced
  12. + Spectacle fighterPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced

All 159 pairs on the Survival Horror page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lunch Lady older $4.99 9,722 86% 292k $1.5M (exactly $1,455,383) Manic Mice
Night Raider older $5.99 1,908 85% 57k $343k (exactly $342,868) TSUKUYOMIC
Enter The Backrooms older $9.99 986 87% 30k $296k (exactly $295,504) Justin Kroh
Paranormal Cleanup $9.99 961 88% 29k $288k (exactly $288,012) Manic Mice
Dread X Collection 2 older $9.99 573 93% 17k $172k (exactly $171,728) DreadXP, David Szymanski, Torple Dook,… (DreadXP, David Szymanski, Torple Dook, Lovely Hellplace, Scythe Dev Team, Secret Cow Level, panstasz, Mahelyk, Daniel Mullins Games, Wither Studios, Akabaka, Vidas Salavejus, Wayward Preacher, John Szymanski, Bathysfear Labs, Abbey 'Scruncho' Smith)
Hachishaku $9.99 456 85% 14k $137k (exactly $136,663) Trash Panda Games
Jeffrey Eggstein · EA $4.99 290 94% 8.7k $43k (exactly $43,413) Grabba Guild Games LLC
Lost Alone Ultimate older $14.99 92 88% 2.8k $41k (exactly $41,372) Daniele Doesn't Matter
Escape FishStop 3D · EA older $8.99 60 96% 1.8k $16k (exactly $16,182) Owen6936
Lost Child $4.99 101 78% 3.0k $15k (exactly $15,120) ASK GAMES
Willie's Nightfall $4.99 65 78% 2.0k $9.7k (exactly $9,730) Runebox Game Studio
DON'T LOOK AT GRANDMA $4.99 64 93% 1.9k $9.6k (exactly $9,581) Danger Sauce LLC
BALL BOY Simulator $4.99 34 91% 1.0k $5.1k (exactly $5,090) EBA GAME
Alchemy of the Earth $7.99 21 61% 630 $5.0k (exactly $5,034) Tamalpais Games
The Fox Hare Disaster: Chapter One $3.99 33 96% 990 $4.0k (exactly $3,950) Dream Oni, Cosmic Boop, Valorware
Pizza Delivery Survivors · EA $9.99 13 100% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Conglomerated Industries

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.