Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Space

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Space Collectathon game?

Collectathon + Space

Of 62 developers who shipped a Space Collectathon game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 71 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $120. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 71 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 71 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Space
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 62
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $713 → $1.3k → $955 → $1.1k → $358 → $539 → $597 (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Space: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 62
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 5% $423k (exactly $423,388)
Developers, 2 yr 62
Released games 145
Announced 71
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Space
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Collectathon; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 6,203 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $600, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 28 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 71 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Star Birds · EA $19.99 2,990 92% 90k $1.8M (exactly $1,793,103) Toukana Interactive
Mega Man Star Force Legacy Collection $39.99 657 96% 20k $788k (exactly $788,203) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Bubsy 4D $19.99 777 92% 23k $466k (exactly $465,967) Fabraz
Astronomics · EA $19.99 706 89% 21k $423k (exactly $423,388) Numizmatic
Galactic Mining Corp older $12.99 868 84% 26k $338k (exactly $338,260) Windybeard
Space Rescue: Code Pink · EA older $11.99 326 89% 9.8k $117k (exactly $117,262) Robin
Digger: Galactic Treasures $4.99 711 87% 21k $106k (exactly $106,437) RainStyle games
ROLLING STAR $11.99 216 96% 6.5k $78k (exactly $77,695) NUL2 STUDIO
Deiland: Pocket Planet older $14.99 132 68% 4.0k $59k (exactly $59,360) Chibig
Looking for Aliens older $7.99 235 95% 7.1k $56k (exactly $56,330) Yustas
Elvenfoundry $34.99 46 67% 1.4k $48k (exactly $48,286) SunbathGames
PLATONICA SPACE $9.99 58 68% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,383) Kazuhide Oka
Skulker $9.99 21 80% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) Krow Game
Accretion $9.99 21 38% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) ValarFerys

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.