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Should I ship a Collectathon Roguelite?
Collectathon + Roguelite
Of 78 developers who shipped a Collectathon Roguelite in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 92 more are announced, ×2.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×218 the market median. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 92 games are announced against 45 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $4.8k (exactly $4,823) |
| Top 5% | $104k (exactly $103,592) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 78 |
| Released games | 147 |
| Announced | 92 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Collectathon
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Roguelite
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Collectathon, Roguelite; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Simulation, Action
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.49 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $13.49 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 6,957 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 36 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 92 games are announced against 45 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorStrong odds
- + CapitalismStrong odds
- + Turn-BasedFair
- + EconomyFair
- + ManagementFair
- + CrimeFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + SokobanFair
- + MythologyFair
- + UnderwaterFair
- + Combat RacingFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Star Birds | · EA | $19.99 | 2,990 92% | 90k | $1.8M (exactly $1,793,103) | Toukana Interactive |
| | Little Noah: Scion of Paradise | older | $14.99 | 2,172 92% | 65k | $977k (exactly $976,748) | Cygames, Inc., Grounding Inc. |
| | Metal Bringer | $19.99 | 1,109 87% | 33k | $665k (exactly $665,067) | ALPHAWING Inc. | |
| | Rustil: Eternal Labyrinth Castle | $18.99 | 950 71% | 29k | $541k (exactly $541,215) | KTMG LLC. | |
| | 沉默的蟋蟀 | older | $14.99 | 1,130 88% | 34k | $508k (exactly $508,161) | 蓬莱飞鱼工作室 |
| | Galactic Mining Corp | older | $12.99 | 868 84% | 26k | $338k (exactly $338,260) | Windybeard |
| | Samurai Bringer | older | $9.99 | 1,012 87% | 30k | $303k (exactly $303,296) | ALPHAWING Inc. |
| | BORE BLASTERS | older | $9.99 | 709 80% | 21k | $212k (exactly $212,487) | 8BitSkull |
| | Full Mojo Rampage | older | $12.99 | 524 85% | 16k | $204k (exactly $204,203) | Over the Top Games |
| | Agrivore: Incremental Farming | $6.99 | 494 70% | 15k | $104k (exactly $103,592) | verty | |
| | IGNOBLE | $6.99 | 331 82% | 9.9k | $69k (exactly $69,411) | Retromagine | |
| | Tomomon | $14.99 | 126 70% | 3.8k | $57k (exactly $56,662) | ManicBuild Studio | |
| | Gamestonk Simulator: Gone Rogue | $13.49 | 106 83% | 3.2k | $43k (exactly $42,898) | simsum | |
| | Gold Miner:Classic Edition | $3.99 | 350 82% | 11k | $42k (exactly $41,895) | GameRival | |
| | Duncrush | $3.99 | 321 82% | 9.6k | $38k (exactly $38,424) | Golden Pick Games | |
| | Gold and Graves | $5.99 | 180 86% | 5.4k | $32k (exactly $32,346) | Yoon |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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