Do I ship it?

Games › Collectathon › Collectathon + Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Roguelike?

Collectathon + Roguelike

Of 68 developers who shipped a Collectathon Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 91 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, level with the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $52k, ×110 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 91 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 91 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 68
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $1.3k → $838 → $1.0k → $2.8k → $1.5k → $599 (still earning) → $180 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 68
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $4.2k (exactly $4,192)
Top 5% $52k (exactly $52,220)
Developers, 2 yr 68
Released games 155
Announced 91
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon, Roguelike; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Roguelite, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.49 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.49 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 10,136 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $480, 1 in 4 over $4.1k, 1 in 20 over $52k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 91 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Elin 2024 · EA · $5.0M Little Noah: Scion of Paradise 2022 · $977k Galactic Mining Corp 2021 · $338k Samurai Bringer 2022 · $303k BORE BLASTERS 2024 · $212k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Elin · EA $19.99 8,406 93% 252k $5.0M (exactly $5,041,078) Lafrontier
Little Noah: Scion of Paradise older $14.99 2,172 92% 65k $977k (exactly $976,748) Cygames, Inc., Grounding Inc.
Galactic Mining Corp older $12.99 868 84% 26k $338k (exactly $338,260) Windybeard
Samurai Bringer older $9.99 1,012 87% 30k $303k (exactly $303,296) ALPHAWING Inc.
BORE BLASTERS older $9.99 709 80% 21k $212k (exactly $212,487) 8BitSkull
Full Mojo Rampage older $12.99 524 85% 16k $204k (exactly $204,203) Over the Top Games
Siralim 2 older $14.99 427 92% 13k $192k (exactly $192,022) Thylacine Studios
硬币与仙人掌 (Coins & Wishpalm) $13.99 343 77% 10k $144k (exactly $143,957) Moshow Games
Agrivore: Incremental Farming $6.99 494 70% 15k $104k (exactly $103,592) verty
XiuzhenWorld2 $12.99 134 67% 4.0k $52k (exactly $52,220) Noforgetit
Gamestonk Simulator: Gone Rogue $13.49 106 83% 3.2k $43k (exactly $42,898) simsum
Gold Miner:Classic Edition $3.99 350 82% 11k $42k (exactly $41,895) GameRival
Gold and Graves $5.99 180 86% 5.4k $32k (exactly $32,346) Yoon
Train Plus Japan Drive Western Japan Trains! Rapid Service Edition $64.99 14 78% 420 $27k (exactly $27,296) SHINISE GAMES, MFC STUDIO
DOLLMAKER $8.99 45 97% 1.4k $12k (exactly $12,136) STH
Idle Kitty $4.99 64 82% 1.9k $9.6k (exactly $9,581) 狮子

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.